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US Wholesale Inflation Hits 6.3%, Putting the Fed on the Spot
15.10.2026
U.S. wholesale inflation delivered a nasty surprise on Oct. 15, with September producer prices climbing 1.3% monthly and 6.3% annually, both substantially above forecasts. Energy costs led the advance, including a 20.3% monthly increase in gasoline prices. Yet despite consecutive inflation shocks...
Fed’s Next Rate Move Has Traders Staring at a Coin Toss
19.9.2026
The Federal Reserve waited 1,148 days to raise interest rates again, and speculators are already betting it won’t stop at one. Polymarket, Kalshi, and CME futures now lean toward another quarter-point hike at the Oct. 28 meeting, while CME puts the odds of rates being higher by December at 90.1%....
Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October
17.9.2026
The Fed is likely to raise rates by 25 basis points in October, Goldman said, drawing attention to Fed's own hawkish near term rate projections
After Years of Holds and Cuts, the Fed Just Raised Rates Again
16.9.2026
The Federal Reserve just did something it hadn’t done in 1,148 days: raise interest rates. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 12-0 to lift the federal funds target range by a quarter percentage point to 3.75%-4%, marking the first increase since July 26, 2023. That ends a stretch...
Bitcoin Price Holds $75,500 as Traders Price In Fed Rate Hike
16.9.2026
Bitcoin’s price oscillated between $75,000 and $76,000 following a market slide triggered by the failed passage of the CLARITY Act in Congress. Investors are awaiting an upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision, where prediction markets expect a 25-basis-point hike. Bitcoin Volatility Follows...
Crypto Market Rockets to $2.73T as Fed Rate Hike Fears Evaporate
3.9.2026
The crypto market’s overall valuation turned sharply higher Thursday, pushing its total value to $2.73 trillion as fading expectations for another Federal Reserve rate increase sent traders piling back into digital assets. The move stretched across the broad market rather than staying...
Trump Demands Rate Cuts as Warsh Sends Fed Hike Odds Above 66%
1.9.2026
While the CME Fedwatch tool shows the chances of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raising the federal funds rate odds now stand at 66%, U.S. President Donald Trump is once again insisting that the central bank needs to lower borrowing costs. Trump Wants Cheaper Money as Warsh Weighs a Rate...
September Fed interest-rate increase is 'very unlikely,' Goldman Sachs says
17.8.2026
Soft economic data has Goldman Sachs doubting a September rate increase, offering good news for bitcoin bulls
The stablecoin yield clash that won't go away has banks, crypto battling over tradition
16.8.2026
The bankers want people kept in lower-yield deposits for the good of the financial system as it's existed for generations, and their argument is gaining ground
Fed Hike Odds Surge as Warsh Unleashes Hawkish Warning
30.7.2026
Prediction markets and interest rate futures now point to a growing likelihood that the Federal Reserve will raise rates in September, reversing expectations from just weeks ago after officials struck a more hawkish tone. The Federal Open Market Committee voted 9 to 3 to keep the target range...
Fed Holds Rates, but 3 Hawkish Rebels Demand Hike as Inflation Fight Erupts
29.7.2026
The Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate steady at 3.50% to 3.75% on July 29, but the decision came over the objections of three officials who wanted to raise borrowing costs instead. The Federal Open Market Committee voted 9 to 3 to keep the target range unchanged, citing solid...
Bitcoin Rebounds Before Fed Bombshell as Traders Brace for 30% Hike Odds
29.7.2026
Bitcoin traded near $64,400 on Wednesday morning at 8:30 a.m. EDT, up roughly 1.6% over the previous 24 hours as positioning accelerated ahead of the Federal Reserve’s afternoon rate decision. Price Rebounds From Overnight Low The move higher came after bitcoin briefly slipped below $63,000...
Prediction Markets Say Hold, Citadel Securities Says Fed Will Hike as Trump Pressures Central Bank
28.7.2026
Federal funds futures traders are pricing a majority chance that the U.S. Federal Reserve holds rates steady this week, but trading activity beneath the headline tells a more nuanced story. Positioning has gradually shifted as Chair Kevin Warsh approaches his second policy decision, with a growing...
Prediction Markets Say Hold, Citadel Securities Says Fed Will Hike as Trump Pressures Central Bank
28.7.2026
Federal funds futures traders are pricing a majority chance that the U.S. Federal Reserve holds rates steady this week, but trading activity beneath the headline tells a more nuanced story. Positioning has gradually shifted as Chair Kevin Warsh approaches his second policy decision, with a growing...
Polymarket Bettors Set 54% Odds on a Fed Rate Hike This Year After Warsh’s Debut
1.7.2026
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh told central bankers in Sintra, Portugal, on July 1 that prices are too high and reaffirmed the Fed’s commitment to a 2% inflation target. At present, prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket place the likelihood of a 2026 rate hike at 53% to 54%. Warsh spoke on...
Bitcoin's recent drop below $60,000 signals Fed, ETF and AI pressures: Deutsche Bank
23.6.2026
Bitcoin's slump to its lowest level since late 2024 reflects a hawkish Federal Reserve, exchange-traded fund outflows and a shift of capital into AI, the bank said
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Ditches Rate Signals, Bitcoin Slides as Nasdaq Bounces 1.5%
18.6.2026
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh used his debut press conference on June 17 to strip away decades of central bank communication habits, and markets spent the following day sorting out what that means for rates, risk, and bitcoin. Rates Hold, Statement Shrinks The Fed held the federal funds rate...
Kevin Warsh’s Fed Holds Firm as Energy Prices Lift Inflation
17.6.2026
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday under Chair Kevin Warsh, pairing a historic leadership moment with a blunt reminder that inflation is still running the show. Fed Holds Rates as CPI Reheats The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 12-0 on June 17 to maintain...
Warsh Faces His First Test June 17 as Traders Hunt for Hidden Signals in the Fed’s Dot Plot
8.6.2026
Traders on multiple prediction markets are pricing near-certainty that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates unchanged at its June 16–17 meeting, even as a new Fed Chair steps into one of the most scrutinized policy seats in the world. Warsh Takes the Chair Kevin Warsh officially leads...
Ontop Uses Opentrade APIs to Turn Idle Payroll Cash Into 3% APR Rewards
21.5.2026
Fintech payroll platform Ontop has partnered with stablecoin yield infrastructure provider Opentrade to launch a platform-wide ~3% APR rewards program for its remote workforce users. Mitigating Risk for Cross-Border Workers Ontop has rolled out a ~3% APR rewards program for its global workforce...