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Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates as Markets Fully Price out 2026 Cuts
5.4.2026
Markets have priced out every Federal Reserve rate cut for 2026 as a U.S.-Israel war with Iran sends oil past $110 per barrel and consumer gas prices toward $4 a gallon. Key Takeaways: Fed funds futures on CME show a 99.5% probability the Fed holds rates at 3.50%-3.75% at the April 29 FOMC meeting....
Markets Flip Script as Fed Hike Odds Overtake Cuts for First Time in 2026 Cycle
24.3.2026
Markets have sharply repriced Federal Reserve expectations, with near-term rate hike probabilities now edging out cuts for the first time since the easing cycle began. Rate Expectations Shift Sharply as Fed Holds and Markets Reassess The shift, captured by the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank’s Market...
Bank of Japan Holds Rates as Inflation Risks Mount
19.3.2026
The Bank of Japan held interest rates at 0.75%, citing global uncertainty and rising inflation risks linked to energy prices. Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled a cautious but flexible approach to future policy shifts. Governor Ueda Flags Inflation Risks, Keeps Rates Steady The Bank of Japan kept...
FOMC Keeps Interest Rates Steady, Ignoring Trump’s Call to Cut
18.3.2026
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady Wednesday, brushing aside public pressure from President Donald Trump and signaling a cautious stance as economic crosscurrents persist. FOMC Holds the Line on Rates The Federal Open Market Committee voted to keep the federal funds rate in a target...
President Trump Calls for Emergency Federal Reserve Meeting to Cut US Interest Rates
16.3.2026
On Monday afternoon, U.S. President Donald Trump called on the Federal Reserve to convene a “special meeting” and cut U.S. interest rates immediately, intensifying his criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell just days before the central bank’s scheduled policy gathering. President...
How the war in Iran and trader positioning could be behind the surge in Circle's stock
9.3.2026
Shares were up another 9.7% on Monday, bringing them nearly to double over the past month
Fed Holds Rates Steady While Two Policymakers Call for a Cut
28.1.2026
The U.S. central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) wrapped up its two-day meeting on Wednesday, issuing a policy statement that said the Fed will leave the federal funds rate unchanged. During the first FOMC meeting of 2026, held Jan. 27-28, and amid political pressure from President...
Federal Reserve holds policy steady as early rate cut bets vanish and bitcoin stalls
28.1.2026
The January Fed rate decision capped a sharp reversal in easing expectations, likely among the reasons for crypto's poor price performance
Rick Rieder, a rising favorite for Trump's Fed chair pick, sees bitcoin as new gold
27.1.2026
As Trump mulls the next leader of the U.S. Federal Reserve, the BlackRock executive has caught a surge of online wagers, and he'd bring a pro-crypto view
Incoming voter on interest rate policy, Cleveland Fed's Hammack says no more cuts
21.12.2025
"My base case is that we can stay here for some period of time," Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack told the WSJ
BOJ Hike Watch: Why Japan’s Next Move Has Traders on Edge Worldwide
14.12.2025
Eyes are now on the Bank of Japan (BOJ) as the central bank is poised to make a bold move next week, raising its short-term interbank rate and sending shockwaves through global markets. BOJ Rate Hike Countdown: Markets Say the Odds Are Nearly Locked In Last week, the U.S. Federal Reserve trimmed...
January Odds Scream ‘No Rate Change’ While Powell Shuts Down New Fed Chair Chatter
13.12.2025
After the U.S. Federal Reserve trimmed the benchmark interest rate last week, attention now shifts to the Jan. 28, 2026, meeting, where current odds suggest the central bank is poised to leave the target rate exactly where it is. A Few Days Following the Last Cut, Traders Price in a January...
Bank of Japan Set to Hike Rates to 30-Year High, Posing Another Threat to Bitcoin
13.12.2025
Rising Japanese rates and a stronger yen threaten carry trades and could pressure crypto markets despite easing U.S. policy
Federal Reserve Pulls the Trigger on a Quarter-Point Cut
10.12.2025
The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by a quarter point on Dec. 10, 2025, matching what CME futures, Polymarket, and Kalshi bettors had been signaling for weeks. The U.S. central bank’s widely anticipated move drops the target range to 3.5%–3.75%, a shift officials tied to evolving...
Markets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone’s Bracing for the Aftershock
9.12.2025
Odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve trimming the federal funds rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) jumped on Tuesday, signaling that futures traders and prediction markets have all but planted a flag on a quarter-point cut as the likely outcome. Market Goes All-In on a Quarter-Point Trim...
Trump's National Security Strategy Gives Reality Check to Crypto's Low Interest Rate Obsession
5.12.2025
The White House's new National Security Strategy emphasizes increased global fiscal expansion and military spending
Fed Rate Cut Odds Jump to 84% on Thanksgiving as Traders Lean Into December Shift
27.11.2025
Odds of a December quarter-point rate cut have marched sharply higher this Thanksgiving, with prediction markets and rate-tracking tools showing traders are almost fully convinced the Federal Reserve will trim its benchmark. December 25bps Cut Now Dominant Market Bet Ahead of Fed Meeting Prediction...
Fed Governor Stephen Miran Calls for ‘Large’ Rate Cuts Amid Rising Jobless Data
25.11.2025
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said the U.S. economy needs “large interest rate cuts,” telling Fox Business on Tuesday that rising unemployment signals monetary policy is overly restrictive. Stephen Miran Pushes for Big Fed Rate Cuts Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said Tuesday that...
Bitcoin’s $1T Rout Exposes Fragile Market Structure, Deutsche Bank Says
24.11.2025
The bitcoin price drop to $80,000 last week reflected a mix of macro pressure, fading regulatory momentum and thinning liquidity that has tested bitcoin’s maturity
CME Futures and Betting Markets Align on Fed’s Potential Quarter-Point Cut in December
23.11.2025
Prediction markets are stacking their chips on a modest rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, even as policymakers publicly wrestle with conflicting data and internal divisions. Rate-Cut Odds Swing as Bettors React to Fed Rifts and Patchy Data Prediction markets are sending a clear...