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45% Odds US Military Will Strike Iran Before July—Markets on High Alert
17.6.2025
As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before...
Polymarket Odds on U.S. Military Action Against Iran Slide as Trump Team Proposes Tehran Talks
17.6.2025
Odds of U.S. military strike against Iran before July slide
Prediction Market Frenzy: Musk-Trump War Fuels Bizarre Political Wagers
8.6.2025
Ever since tensions flared between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, markets have seesawed and social media has lit up with fiery takes on the so-called “Big Beautiful Bill.” The clash between the sitting U.S. president and the world’s wealthiest individual has also sent prediction markets into a frenzy....
Polymarket, Elon Musk’s X Announce Prediction Market Partnership
6.6.2025
Polymarket has partnered with Elon Musk’s xAI to enable data sharing between their platforms, integrating the prediction marketplace with Grok AI and X content. Grok AI to Contextualize Prediction Markets The partnership, announced on June 6, 2025, connects Polymarket’s prediction markets...
Polymarket Partners Up With Elon Musk's xAI
6.6.2025
Shayne Coplan, the prediction market's CEO, said that the two "truth-seeking apps" would be stronger together
Bettors Lose Millions Predicting the New Pope as Polymarket Edge Fizzles Out
9.5.2025
The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls
Prediction Markets Traders Bet Big on Easy Liberal Win as Canadians Head to the Polls
28.4.2025
Political betting platforms show Mark Carney leading with a 78% chance of becoming Canada's next Prime Minister, while Pierre Poilievre has a 22% chance
U.S. Recession Odds Surge in Prediction Markets on Tariff Shock. What Next for BTC?
3.4.2025
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in an over-50% chance of a U.S. recession this year
Polymarket, UMA Communities Lock Horns After $7M Ukraine Bet Resolves
27.3.2025
The bet was resolved as 'yes' despite no official agreement, leading to suspicions of manipulation by a large UMA token holder, but Polymarket defended the UMA voting process
Polymarket Suffers UMA Governance Attack After Rouge Actor Becomes Top-5 Token Staker
26.3.2025
BornTooLate.Eth has accumulated over 1.3 million UMA tokens to attack a Ukraine-themed market — but nobody has appeared to have made much money
Polymarket is 90% Accurate in Predicting World Events: Research
21.3.2025
Research shows that Polymarket is 90% accurate in predicting how events will occur one month out, and 94% four hours before the event occurs
Polymarket Traders Bet on Canadian Tariff Cuts After Lutnick Hints at Negotiations
5.3.2025
Howard Lutnick told Fox Business that President Donald Trump is willing to 'meet in the middle' on tariffs, but not eliminate them entirely – yet
Trump's CFTC Head Slams Prediction Markets Resistance Under Predecessor
6.2.2025
Caroline Pham, the agency's acting chairman, is scheduling an experts roundtable to reset the CFTC's course on this "sinkhole of legal uncertainty."
US Bitcoin reserve odds skyrocket on betting markets
17.1.2025
Kalshi bettors put the odds of Trump creating a Bitcoin reserve in 2026 at roughly 70%
US Bitcoin reserve odds skyrocket on betting markets
17.1.2025
Kalshi bettors put the odds of Trump creating a Bitcoin reserve in 2026 at roughly 70%
US Bitcoin reserve odds skyrocket on betting markets
17.1.2025
Kalshi bettors put the odds of Trump creating a Bitcoin reserve in 2026 at roughly 70%
US Bitcoin reserve odds skyrocket on betting markets
17.1.2025
Kalshi bettors put the odds of Trump creating a Bitcoin reserve in 2026 at roughly 70%
US Bitcoin reserve odds skyrocket on betting markets
17.1.2025
Kalshi bettors put the odds of Trump creating a Bitcoin reserve in 2026 at roughly 70%
US Bitcoin reserve odds skyrocket on betting markets
17.1.2025
Kalshi bettors put the odds of Trump creating a Bitcoin reserve in 2026 at roughly 70%
US Bitcoin reserve odds skyrocket on betting markets
17.1.2025
Kalshi bettors put the odds of Trump creating a Bitcoin reserve in 2026 at roughly 70%