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Does the US Hold Its Famous Gold Reserves? Polymarket Bets 21% That Fort Knox Gold Is a Mirage
23.2.2025
Speculation over Fort Knox’s gold reserves grows as decades without full audits fuel doubts about the vault’s contents. On Polymarket, bettors now price a 21% likelihood the gold doesn’t exist, mirroring lingering public distrust despite official claims of security. Is America’s Iconic Gold Secure?...
Polymarket bets on Fort Knox audit as reserve debate heats up
18.2.2025
Polymarket launched two related prediction markets as pressure mounts on US President Donald Trump to conduct an audit of Fort Knox gold reserves
Trump’s Pardons Predicted: Jan. 6 Protestor, Ross Ulbricht, and Roger Ver Lead Polymarket Bets
6.12.2024
A bet on Polymarket, the prediction marketplace, is drawing buzz with its question: Who will President-elect Donald Trump pardon within his first 100 days? Since its launch, this wager has attracted $3,483,995 in volume. On Friday, Dec. 6, Polymarket participants highlighted top contenders...
Republicans Look Set to Clinch Electoral Sweep, Echoing Polymarket Bets
8.11.2024
The U.S.'s Republican Party seems set to keep control of the House of Representatives, completing its trifecta after flipping the Senate and White House in the 2024 election cycle — confirming odds on betting site Polymarket
Trump election odds near 67% as Polymarket whale bets another $2M
28.10.2024
Polymarket whales are betting tens of millions of dollars on a Trump victory on Nov. 5, which could be more accurate than traditional polls, according to Elon Musk
Kamala Harris Unveils Major Pro-Crypto Plan, Polymarket Bets Shift
14.10.2024
U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris has introduced a proposal aimed at enhancing wealth-building opportunities for Black men. The…
Len Sassaman’s Legacy: Could He Be the Man Behind Bitcoin?
8.10.2024
On Wednesday, HBO is set to release a documentary that claims to reveal the identity of Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, and speculation is swirling around Len Sassaman as the potential figure. Rumors are circulating that Sassaman could be named Nakamoto, and bettors on Polymarket...
Will Trump and Harris Debate Again? Polymarket Bets Say There’s a 60% Chance
12.9.2024
According to Polymarket’s betting odds, there’s a 60% chance we’ll see another debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, even though no additional debates are currently scheduled beyond the one held on Sept. 10, 2024. Bettors Place Their Bets on a Second...
The Protocol: Polymarket Bets Pay Off as Memecoin Memorializes 'Dwebate'
11.9.2024
Crypto wasn't even mentioned during Tuesday's U.S. presidential debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. But there was a parallel universe of often-ridiculous trading around the faceoff – taking place on blockchain-based prediction markets and memecoin...
Polymarket Bets on if Trump & Harris will mention Crypto in Presidential Debate
10.9.2024
As the next presidential debate approaches, the crypto community members are on high alert, wondering if Donald Trump…
Crypto Polymarket Bets Take a Focus Shift to Bitcoin & Airdrops
30.8.2024
Polymarket has gathered investors globally to bet on events taking place worldwide. Since Satoshi Nakamoto created and launched…
Polymarket Bets 10% on 2024 US Recession, Analyst Skeptical of Rate Cut’s Impact
25.8.2024
The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop...
Polymarket Bets Predict a Nail-Biter: Trump and Harris Dead Even in 2024 Race
8.8.2024
According to prediction market Polymarket, former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris are now evenly matched in the 2024 election race. Initially, Trump led Harris following the announcement by President Joe Biden that he would not seek re-election in November. 2024...
Polymarket Bets Big on Josh Shapiro: Is He Kamala Harris’s Secret VP Pick for 2024?
3.8.2024
Based on Polymarket predictions, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro is currently favored to be Kamala Harris’s Vice Presidential pick for her 2024 U.S. presidential campaign. Polymarket participants currently give Shapiro a 72% likelihood of being chosen as the running mate. Betting Markets Show...
Speculation Grows on Joe Biden’s Whereabouts; Polymarket Bets 57% Chance of Tuesday Address
23.7.2024
Following U.S. President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the 2024 election, many Americans are curious about his whereabouts since he has not spoken to the nation following his letter posted to X on Sunday. On Tuesday, a Polymarket bet is predicting whether Biden will “make an appearance today” after...
Trump’s Election Odds Continue to Surge Post-Assassination Attempt: Polymarket Bets Hit 71%
15.7.2024
Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the chances of winning the 2024 general election up to 71%....
U.S. Secret Service Chief Probably Won't Be Fired, Polymarket Bets Signal
15.7.2024
Plus: Another all-time high for Trump's odds of victory; bettors think bitcoin will continue its green streak until the end of week
Trump’s 2024 Election Odds Jump to 66% on Polymarket; GOP Expected to Control Congress
3.7.2024
Donald Trump’s prospects of winning the 2024 election have risen, with the prediction market Polymarket reporting his odds at 66% as of July 2, 2024. Meanwhile, a wager worth $294 million indicates that incumbent President Joe Biden’s chances stand at 18%. Trump Favored Over Biden in 2024 Election...
Polymarket Bets Show Growing Confidence in Trump’s Election Victory Over Biden
9.6.2024
Ten days ago, after former President Donald Trump was convicted on 34 counts connected to a hush-money scheme, Polymarket bets indicated his chances of winning the 2024 election still stood at 54%, compared to incumbent President Joe Biden’s 40%. Since that time, the gap between Trump and Biden...
Conviction Fails to Deter Donald Trump’s 2024 Election Odds, According to Polymarket Bets
31.5.2024
Following the landmark news of former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 counts related to a hush-money scheme allegedly influencing the 2016 election, data from the Polygon-powered prediction market Polymarket shows Trump still leading in forecast bets for the 2024 election. Convicted...