Search
CFTC eyeing Polymarket, betting platforms amid elections, says chair
18.9.2024
If an offshore entity’s “footprint” in the US is big enough, they must register their derivative contracts or risk facing enforcement actions, says CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam
CFTC eyeing Polymarket, betting platforms amid elections, says chair
18.9.2024
If an offshore entity’s “footprint” in the US is big enough, they must register their derivative contracts or risk facing enforcement actions, says CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam
‘Explosion’ in election gambling will harm public interest: CFTC
16.9.2024
The US commodities regulator says prediction markets can be vulnerable to “spectacular manipulation.”
Polymarket Wager Shows Trump Taking the Lead in Nail-Biting 2024 Election Bet
22.8.2024
On Aug. 22, 2024, Polymarket odds showed former President Donald Trump leading in the prediction market that pits him against Kamala Harris for the 2024 presidential election. As of 8:19 a.m. EDT on Thursday, Trump held a 53% chance of victory, edging out Harris, who currently sits at 46%....
Harris vs. Trump: Polls Show Tight Race as Betting and Prediction Markets Favor Trump
24.7.2024
After Kamala Harris announced her candidacy for the U.S. presidency in the 2024 election, recent polls show she is performing competitively against Donald Trump in hypothetical matchups. However, betting markets suggest Trump is favored to win, with Polymarket odds giving Trump a 63% chance over...
Trump’s Election Odds Continue to Surge Post-Assassination Attempt: Polymarket Bets Hit 71%
15.7.2024
Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the chances of winning the 2024 general election up to 71%....
Biden’s reelection odds brush single digits on Polymarket
5.7.2024
Former U.S. President Donald Trump is still in the lead at odds at 61%, while U.S. Vice President and Democrat Kamala Harris is second with 19% odds
39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting
28.6.2024
Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably. Betting Markets React to Joe Biden’s...
PolitiFi memecoins tank amid Trump vs Biden presidential debate
28.6.2024
The Jeo Boden memecoin was hardest hit, falling over 53% from its 24-hour high during presidential debate night
Trump Widens Lead Over With Biden (on Polymarket and PredictIt) After Courting Crypto Vote
28.5.2024
Plus, how much longshot money was made betting on the SEC approving an Ethereum ETF?
U.S. CFTC Proposes Ban on Political Event Contracts
10.5.2024
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed a formal rejection of event contracts that bet on the outcome of political activity in a vote on Friday, beginning an effort to wall off U.S. customers from platforms that allow the trading of predictive contracts
U.S. CFTC's Behnam Says Agency Writing New Policy on Prediction Markets
12.3.2024
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chair Rostin Behnam said his agency will propose a rule in the coming months to establish new regulations for prediction markets
CFTC to Review Prediction Market Kalshi’s Contracts to Bet on Control of Congress
17.6.2023
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission will decide on June 26 whether to start a formal 90-day review of prediction market provider KalshiEX’s contract that allows users to bet on which party takes control of the U.S. Congress
Election Betting Site PredictIt Sues to Block CFTC-Ordered Shutdown
15.9.2022
The CFTC’s August action calls for the site to be closed for U.S. users by February 15
Popular Election-Betting Site PredictIt Throttled by US Regulator
5.8.2022
Election betting platform PredictIt has to shut down for U.S. users by February, according to a Commodity Futures Trading Commission decision that says the operators haven’t complied with the agency’s requirements for running the popular site
Election 2020 Prediction Markets: Bettors Say Trump Lost Tuesday’s Debate
30.9.2020
With the first presidential debate now smoldering behind us, the betting markets have picked their winner: Joe Biden