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Prediction Markets Stir as Trump’s Trade War Strategy Evolves
12.4.2025
Since April 2, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump has jolted global markets with a series of broad-based tariffs, some of which were temporarily halted this past Wednesday. Prediction markets have become a hotspot for wagers tied to Trump’s trade policies, drawing significant attention from...
U.S. Recession Odds Surge in Prediction Markets on Tariff Shock. What Next for BTC?
3.4.2025
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in an over-50% chance of a U.S. recession this year
Polymarket, UMA Communities Lock Horns After $7M Ukraine Bet Resolves
27.3.2025
The bet was resolved as 'yes' despite no official agreement, leading to suspicions of manipulation by a large UMA token holder, but Polymarket defended the UMA voting process
Bitcoin price prediction markets bet BTC won't go higher than $138K in 2025
27.3.2025
BItcoin (BTC) retains a $138,000 price target for 2025 as the market recovers from US trade tariffs, new analysis concludes.Data covering bets on prediction service Polymarket suggests that BTC/USD could still gain around 60% from current levels this year.“Conservative” Polymarket users...
Massachusetts subpoenas Robinhood over sports prediction markets
25.3.2025
Massachusetts’ securities regulator has reportedly launched a probe over Robinhood’s prediction markets offering that has allowed users to bet on the outcomes for a slew of events, including basketball tournaments. Reuters reported on March 24 that Massachusetts Secretary Bill...
Massachusetts subpoenas Robinhood over sports prediction markets
25.3.2025
Massachusetts’ securities regulator has reportedly launched a probe over Robinhood’s prediction markets offering that has allowed users to bet on the outcomes for a slew of events, including basketball tournaments. Reuters reported on March 24 that Massachusetts Secretary of State...
Massachusetts Regulator Probes Robinhood Over Prediction Markets Hub: Reuters
24.3.2025
Robinhood launched its in-app prediction markets hub last week, allowing users to bet on the outcome of March Madness matchups
Prediction Markets Show Poilievre and Carney Locked in a Nail-Biting Battle for Canada’s Leadership
16.3.2025
This past week, Mark Carney officially stepped into his role as Canada’s 24th prime minister during a ceremony at Rideau Hall in Ottawa, officiated by Governor General Mary Simon. At the time, a Polymarket bet revealed Carney had initially jumped ahead of Pierre Poilievre, head of...
Trump vows Fort Knox gold audit; prediction markets react
20.2.2025
The odds of a Fort Knox gold audit before May surged above 70% on Polymarket as US President Donald Trump confirmed a plan to check its gold reserves
How AI agents can turbocharge Community Notes on X and Facebook
10.2.2025
AI agents would happily predict Community Notes on markets worth $1 to $2 to help get them online hours earlier, says David Minarsch from Olas Predict
How AI agents can turbocharge Community Notes on X and Facebook
10.2.2025
AI agents would happily predict Community Notes on markets worth $1 to $2 to help get them online hours earlier, says David Minarsch from Olas Predict
How AI agents can turbocharge Community Notes on X and Facebook
10.2.2025
AI agents would happily predict Community Notes on markets worth $1 to $2 to help get them online hours earlier, says David Minarsch from Olas Predict
How AI agents can turbocharge Community Notes on X and Facebook
10.2.2025
AI agents would happily predict Community Notes on markets worth $1 to $2 to help get them online hours earlier, says David Minarsch from Olas Predict
How AI agents can turbocharge Community Notes on X and Facebook
10.2.2025
AI agents would happily predict Community Notes on markets worth $1 to $2 to help get them online hours earlier, says David Minarsch from Olas Predict
Vitalik’s Community Notes plan can work — AI prediction market creator
10.2.2025
AI agents would happily predict Community Notes on markets worth $1 to $2 to help get them online hours earlier, says David Minarsch from Olas Predict
Vitalik’s Community Notes plan can work — AI prediction market creator
10.2.2025
AI agents would happily predict Community Notes on markets worth $1 to $2 to help get them online hours earlier, says David Minarsch from Olas Predict
Vitalik’s Community Notes plan can work — AI prediction market creator
10.2.2025
AI agents would happily predict Community Notes on markets worth $1 to $2 to help get them online hours earlier, says David Minarsch from Olas Predict
US CFTC Acting Chairman To Reconsider Regulations on Prediction Markets
6.2.2025
The Acting Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Caroline Pham is reconsidering regulations on prediction…
Trump's CFTC Head Slams Prediction Markets Resistance Under Predecessor
6.2.2025
Caroline Pham, the agency's acting chairman, is scheduling an experts roundtable to reset the CFTC's course on this "sinkhole of legal uncertainty."
CFTC to Hold Roundtables on Digital Assets and Prediction Markets
28.1.2025
The CFTC has launched public roundtables to discuss market structure innovation, focusing on prediction markets and digital assets. Balancing Innovation and Investor Protection The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has launched a series of public roundtables to discuss innovation...