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Nalezeno "prediction markets": 186

Experts say prediction markets hold the key to seeing the future

20.11.2024
Predictions markets had an edge on the polls in the 2024 US election, but are they actually helping pundits predict the future?

Only Congress Can Ban Election Betting, Kalshi Tells Appeals Court in New Filing

18.11.2024
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) may not like election betting, but only Congress — not the regulator — has the authority to ban it, embattled prediction market purveyor Kalshi argued in a Friday court filing

Polymarket Trader Loses Millions on Tyson After Making Bank on Trump

18.11.2024
Plus: the market is not confident if Matt Gaetz will be confirmed as Trump's attorney general

Polymarket CEO's Home Is Raided by FBI

13.11.2024
Shayne Coplan's prediction market saw enormous activity leading up to the U.S. presidential election

Vitalik explores potential of ‘info finance’ as ETH tops $3K

9.11.2024
Ethereum’s Vitalik Buterin proposes “info finance” as a pioneering framework to harness blockchain and AI for factual insights

French Regulator Says It's 'Examining' Polymarket

7.11.2024
The scrutiny comes after a French national profited handsomely on the platform by placing large bets on Trump winning the U.S. election

Kalshi rolls out political betting contracts for Trump presidency

7.11.2024
The prediction market has listed contracts for betting on events including a prospective Trump impeachment

Polymarket vs. Polls: Trump’s Victory Vindicates Prediction Markets

7.11.2024
Haseeb Qureshi, managing partner at the VC crypto fund Dragonfly, believes that prediction markets like Polymarket have been vindicated after facing accusations of bias in anticipation of the U.S. election. Qureshi highlights that for-profit market makers are driven by potential earnings, giving...

Polymarket Projects a GOP House, Clinching Trump Trifecta

6.11.2024
If the prediction market's traders are right – and lately, they've been right – the election results are even more bullish for crypto than they appear

Polymarket, Prediction Betting Markets Vindicated by Trump's Strong Showing

6.11.2024
Tuesday night was a shocker if you only watched CNN. But not if you'd looked at the betting all along

Historic: Bitcoin Breaks All-Time High as Trump Gains Ground in Prediction Markets

6.11.2024
In a historic night for crypto markets, bitcoin has blown past its previous all-time high (ATH) numbers, reaching $75,000 on several exchanges. This price action comes on the heels of several favorable announcements supporting the possible victory of former President Donald Trump in the U.S....

Prediction Markets Give Trump the Edge on Election Day

5.11.2024
Recent numbers from prediction markets suggest that former President Donald Trump is holding a substantial edge over Vice President Kamala Harris. Battle for the White House Bettors have shown a consistent shift in support for Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. election race, leaving Kamala Harris...

U.S. Election Betting: Polymarket 'Manipulation' Claims Miss the Mark

4.11.2024
The manipulation narrative is an attempt by mainstream media to discredit Polymarket’s election odds and control the narrative, one expert said

If U.S. Election Is Disputed, Prediction Markets Could Face 'Hornet's Nest'

4.11.2024
How will Polymarket and Kalshi resolve their presidential bets if there's another Jan. 6 or Bush v. Gore situation?

Republican Sweep? What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting for Election Day

1.11.2024
With just four days left until the U.S. 2024 election, the latest prediction market data paints a shifting landscape: former President Donald Trump’s odds have taken a downturn, while Vice President Kamala Harris is enjoying an upswing in her chances. Trump’s Odds Slip, Harris Gains — What 2 Major...

Fortune Claims Polymarket Is 'Rife' With Wash Trading

30.10.2024
As much as a third of the prediction market's volume is inflated by traders buying and selling the same shares repeatedly, Fortune reported, citing blockchain researchers. They could be doing it to farm a future airdropped token

Prediction Markets Signal GOP Sweep in 2024: Republicans Poised for All 3 Branches

28.10.2024
Donald Trump’s campaign momentum has held strong in recent weeks, with Trump now leading Vice President Kamala Harris. Polls and prediction markets increasingly suggest a possible Republican sweep in 2024. Bettors Weigh In: Will 2024 Bring a Republican Trifecta? Some people are starting to predict...