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Nalezeno "recession risk": 14

Goldman Sachs Lowers US Recession Risk to 20%


Goldman Sachs economists have lowered the likelihood of a U.S. recession within the next year from 25% to 20%, citing recent data on retail sales and jobless claims. If the upcoming August jobs report, scheduled for release on September 6, shows favorable results, the probability of a recession...

Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Risk to 25%


Global investment bank Goldman Sachs has increased the likelihood of a U.S. recession within the next year to 25% from the previous 15%, although they maintain that the risk remains limited. Despite the recent rise in unemployment to its highest in nearly three years and a significant slowdown...

Longest Yield Curve Inversion in US History Continues Past 2-Year Mark


The 10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread (I:102YTYS) has been inverted since July 7, 2022, marking the longest period of inversion in U.S. history at over two years, surpassing the previous record of 624 days set in 1978. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term bonds yield more than their...

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