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Markets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone’s Bracing for the Aftershock
9.12.2025
Odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve trimming the federal funds rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) jumped on Tuesday, signaling that futures traders and prediction markets have all but planted a flag on a quarter-point cut as the likely outcome. Market Goes All-In on a Quarter-Point Trim...
Markets Poised for ‘Uptober’ as Leveraged Longs Return
29.9.2025
Bitcoin and ethereum are holding steady after last week’s selloff, with volatility drifting lower ahead of U.S. jobs data. Leveraged positions are building again, signaling renewed optimism despite lingering caution in options markets. Bitcoin, Ethereum Rebound While Traders Eye ETF Flows and Jobs...
Markets Eye Fed’s Rate Path With Crypto Facing Uncertain Spillover
17.9.2025
The Fed is expected to deliver a 25bp rate cut today, Sept. 17, marking the start of its easing cycle. While risk assets could benefit, crypto has lagged equities and may remain under pressure even as liquidity conditions improve. Powell’s Guidance in Focus as Fed Set to Kick Off Easing Cycle...
Markets Brace for Fed Rate Cut as Futures and Prediction Markets Show Near-Certain Trim
16.9.2025
According to the CME Fedwatch tool and prediction markets, traders are betting the U.S. Federal Reserve will trim rates tomorrow when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gathers. On top of that, Stephen Miran, a key economic adviser to U.S. President Donald Trump, snagged Senate confirmation...
Markets Enter Uncharted Chaos as Iran Strike Forces Brutal Portfolio Resets
23.6.2025
Intensifying Middle East conflict and surging geopolitical risk are igniting a dramatic market realignment, driving investors into energy, defense, commodities, and inflation-protected assets as volatility erupts. Market Outlook Darkens With Soaring Oil and Heightened Middle East Tensions...
Markets Slide as Trump Targets EU and iPhones With Tariffs
23.5.2025
President Donald Trump’s latest tariff proposal has thrown financial markets into a tailspin, sparking a sharp slide in major U.S. stock indexes. EU Retaliation Looms as Trump Issues Tariff Ultimatum According to several reports, the president has unveiled a bold new plan: a 50% tax on imports from...
Markets Bet on Fed Pause in May Even as Trump Rattles the Cage
30.4.2025
On April 12—just over two weeks prior—expectations surrounding a potential cut to the federal funds rate were in flux, with markets assigning a 39.8% probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve would lower the rate by 25 basis points. Fast forward to seven days ahead of the next Federal Open Market...
Markets Waver as US Treasury Chief Talks Tough on China Trade Risks
29.4.2025
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, the 79th Secretary of the Treasury, addressed trade tensions with China during a White House press conference, emphasizing that Beijing faces severe economic consequences if tariffs remain high. ‘Certainty Not Necessarily Good’: Bessent Defends Strategy Amid...
Markets Jump on US-China Optimism, New Tether-Softbank Funded BTC Treasury Firm, and More — Week in Review
27.4.2025
Markets jump on US-China optimism, New Tether-Softbank funded BTC treasury firm, Bitcoin ETFs attract nearly $1 Billion in new capital, and more in this Week in Review. Week in Review Crypto-related stocks rallied alongside digital assets amid renewed U.S.-China optimism. Jack Mallers was announced...
Markets Face Bumpy Climb After Peak Tariff Uncertainty, Nansen Says
16.4.2025
Markets may have moved past the peak of U.S. tariff policy uncertainty, but the path ahead remains volatile, according to a new report from Nansen. Nansen Highlights ‘Bessent Put’ as U.S. Moderates Trade Stance In a report shared with Bitcoin.com News, Aurelie Barthere, Principal Research Analyst...
Markets on Edge as Fed Rate Cut Odds Shift Amid Trump Tariff Drama
12.4.2025
Amid the market chaos triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump’s on-again, off-again tariff measures, the probability of a federal funds rate cut has been steadily climbing. Trump’s Tariff Whiplash Fuels Rate Speculation Across Futures and Prediction Markets Trump’s tariff policies have captivated...
Markets Gain Ground on US-China Trade Deal Hopes and Fed Reassurances
11.4.2025
U.S. stocks edged higher Friday following remarks from the White House indicating the Trump administration’s confidence in securing a trade agreement with China. On the same day, Susan Collins, the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, stated that the central bank stands ready...
Markets Plunge, Bitcoin Cracks: QCP Warns of ‘Full-Scale Economic War’
7.4.2025
Global financial markets faced severe turmoil this week as escalating U.S.-China trade tensions triggered panic selling across equities and cryptocurrencies, according to an April 7 analysis by QCP Capital. Volatility Spikes, Tariffs Rise: QCP Says World Nearing Economic Breaking Point On Monday...
Markets Tumble as Fed’s Favorite Inflation Gauge Spikes; Bitcoin Slides, Stocks Dump
28.3.2025
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure elevated sharply in February, with the core personal consumption expenditures price index climbing 0.4%—the largest monthly spike since January 2024—while consumer spending growth fell short of expectations, the Commerce Department reported...
‘Markets Are Gonna Soar’: Trump Shows Confidence as Inflation Cools and Stocks Rise
12.3.2025
Equities and cryptocurrency markets rebounded following a sharp downturn earlier in the week, fueled by signs of easing inflationary pressures. Despite the contentious effects of his tariff strategies, President Donald Trump remains confident that the U.S. will emerge “stronger than ever before”...
Markets Lean Away From Election Chaos, Betting Big on Fed’s Next Move
6.11.2024
Market optimism over an expected Federal Reserve rate cut is eclipsing election worries, with investors betting that reduced borrowing costs will bolster economic growth. Election Worries Sidestepped as Markets Bank on Fed’s Economic Lifeline, Green Says Concerns over the U.S. presidential election...
Markets Are Telling Us Something About the US Election
26.10.2024
This editorial is from last week’s edition of the newsletter Week in Review. Subscribe to the weekly newsletter to get the editorial the second it’s finished. Polymarket, Traditional Markets, and Crypto Markets Are Predicting a Trump Victory A widely circulated sentiment for the past week on CT...
Markets Await Fed Decision: Bitcoin Spikes, Gold Drops, Stocks Wobble
17.9.2024
Bitcoin saw its value leap to $61,331 on Tuesday, just a day before members of the U.S. Federal Reserve convene to discuss a potential rate cut for federal funds. While BTC posted a 5% gain, stock markets exhibited mixed signals, hovering near previous highs, and gold dipped more than half...
Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction
2.9.2024
On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently...
Markets in Freefall, Coinbase Reports Great Q2 Revenue, and More — Week in Review
4.8.2024
The U.S. stock market experienced significant declines, and the crypto market fell by 5.82% following a disappointing jobs report, sparking concerns about a potential recession. Meanwhile, Coinbase reported $1.4 billion in Q2 revenue, highlighting growth and regulatory progress in the crypto...