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Bitcoin’s next bull market may not come from more 'accommodative policies'
7.2.2026
Bitcoin reaching a point where its price keeps rising even as the US Federal Reserve hikes interest rates would be "the endgame," according to crypto executive Jeff Park
Fed Holds Rates Steady While Two Policymakers Call for a Cut
28.1.2026
The U.S. central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) wrapped up its two-day meeting on Wednesday, issuing a policy statement that said the Fed will leave the federal funds rate unchanged. During the first FOMC meeting of 2026, held Jan. 27-28, and amid political pressure from President...
Incoming voter on interest rate policy, Cleveland Fed's Hammack says no more cuts
21.12.2025
"My base case is that we can stay here for some period of time," Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack told the WSJ
January Odds Scream ‘No Rate Change’ While Powell Shuts Down New Fed Chair Chatter
13.12.2025
After the U.S. Federal Reserve trimmed the benchmark interest rate last week, attention now shifts to the Jan. 28, 2026, meeting, where current odds suggest the central bank is poised to leave the target rate exactly where it is. A Few Days Following the Last Cut, Traders Price in a January...
Federal Reserve Pulls the Trigger on a Quarter-Point Cut
10.12.2025
The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by a quarter point on Dec. 10, 2025, matching what CME futures, Polymarket, and Kalshi bettors had been signaling for weeks. The U.S. central bank’s widely anticipated move drops the target range to 3.5%–3.75%, a shift officials tied to evolving...
Markets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone’s Bracing for the Aftershock
9.12.2025
Odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve trimming the federal funds rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) jumped on Tuesday, signaling that futures traders and prediction markets have all but planted a flag on a quarter-point cut as the likely outcome. Market Goes All-In on a Quarter-Point Trim...
Fed Rate Cut Odds Jump to 84% on Thanksgiving as Traders Lean Into December Shift
27.11.2025
Odds of a December quarter-point rate cut have marched sharply higher this Thanksgiving, with prediction markets and rate-tracking tools showing traders are almost fully convinced the Federal Reserve will trim its benchmark. December 25bps Cut Now Dominant Market Bet Ahead of Fed Meeting Prediction...
Fed Governor Stephen Miran Calls for ‘Large’ Rate Cuts Amid Rising Jobless Data
25.11.2025
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said the U.S. economy needs “large interest rate cuts,” telling Fox Business on Tuesday that rising unemployment signals monetary policy is overly restrictive. Stephen Miran Pushes for Big Fed Rate Cuts Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran said Tuesday that...
CME Futures and Betting Markets Align on Fed’s Potential Quarter-Point Cut in December
23.11.2025
Prediction markets are stacking their chips on a modest rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, even as policymakers publicly wrestle with conflicting data and internal divisions. Rate-Cut Odds Swing as Bettors React to Fed Rifts and Patchy Data Prediction markets are sending a clear...
Bitcoin Bounces Above $84K as Fed's Williams Puts December Rate Cut Back on Table
21.11.2025
Previously having essentially written off chances of further monetary ease in 2025, interest rate traders are now pricing more than a 70% chance of a rate cut at the Federal Reserve's December meeting
Fed Officials Split as Markets Price in December Rate Cut
12.11.2025
The Federal Reserve’s December policy decision is shaping up as a battle between officials worried about inflation’s persistence and those focused on weakening employment and demand. Traders Bet on Rate Cut Despite Fed’s Growing Divide Over Inflation According to the CME Fedwatch Tool, traders...
Inflation Still Too High — Fed's Jeff Schmid Explains His Vote Not to Cut Rates This Week
31.10.2025
The Kansas City Fed President said lower rates can't do a lot to improve what he calls "structural changes" in the labor market
Kalshi, Polymarket, and CME Agree: The Fed’s About to Cut
28.10.2025
On the eve of the Federal Reserve’s big day, prediction markets and futures are practically winking at traders—betting on a quarter-point rate cut. Analysts and crypto watchers alike are bracing for what could be a double shot of caffeine for both bitcoin and U.S. equities if Jerome Powell’s crew...
Fed Rate Watch: Consensus Leans Hard Toward a Quarter-Point Slice
28.9.2025
Traders have practically written in pen a quarter-point cut, daring the U.S. Federal Reserve to prove them wrong at October’s meeting ahead. Quarter-Point Trim Leads the Board for October’s Fed Decision CME’s Fedwatch tool puts numbers to the hunch: with the target currently at 4.00% to 4.25%,...
Coinshares: Fed’s Trim Lands Softly; Bitcoin Stays Flat and Volatility Tightens
21.9.2025
The Federal Reserve finally trimmed rates—and bitcoin basically yawned, according to Coinshares’ Head of Research James Butterfill, who says traders want proof this is a real pivot, not a polite tap on the brakes. Butterfill: Rate Cut Hype Fades; Bitcoin Waits for Real Pivot Signal Bitcoin (BTC)...
Fed ‘Dot Plot’ Projects More Rate Cuts by End of 2025 and Beyond
18.9.2025
The curious chart introduced by the U.S. Federal Reserve in 2012 shows that the Fed’s top brass expects several more interest‑rate cuts over the next two years. Fed Signals Sustained Rate Cuts Through 2027 Wednesday’s interest rate reduction by the U.S. Federal Reserve didn’t raise any eyebrows...
Fed Cuts Fed Fund Rate by 25 Basis Points in First Reduction Since December
17.9.2025
The U.S. central bank lowered its benchmark rate range by 25 basis points to 4%-4.25%, citing softening labor markets and economic uncertainty
Markets Eye Fed’s Rate Path With Crypto Facing Uncertain Spillover
17.9.2025
The Fed is expected to deliver a 25bp rate cut today, Sept. 17, marking the start of its easing cycle. While risk assets could benefit, crypto has lagged equities and may remain under pressure even as liquidity conditions improve. Powell’s Guidance in Focus as Fed Set to Kick Off Easing Cycle...
Markets Brace for Fed Rate Cut as Futures and Prediction Markets Show Near-Certain Trim
16.9.2025
According to the CME Fedwatch tool and prediction markets, traders are betting the U.S. Federal Reserve will trim rates tomorrow when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gathers. On top of that, Stephen Miran, a key economic adviser to U.S. President Donald Trump, snagged Senate confirmation...
Fed's Hammack Says 'No' to Rate Cut; Bitcoin Slips to Session Low Below $113K
21.8.2025
The data currently on hand does not support the case for lowering interest rates, said the president of the Cleveland Fed