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Nalezeno "Prediction Markets": 226

US Bombs Iran, and Now Everyone’s Wagering on What’s Next


After U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday evening that the U.S. had launched successful airstrikes on Iran, trading activity tied to the Middle East conflict on prediction markets lit up like a pinball machine. Gamble of War: Traders Bet on Invasion, Regime Collapse, and Nuclear Deals...

45% Odds US Military Will Strike Iran Before July—Markets on High Alert


As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before...

Kalshi Continues to Double Down on Crypto, Adds Solana to Betting Arsenal


On Friday, Kalshi—the federally regulated prediction exchange headquartered in New York City—disclosed that it now permits solana ( SOL) deposits for account funding. Solana Lands on Kalshi Established in July 2021 under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi...

Blockchain prediction markets offer new hope for scientific validation


Opinion by: Sasha Shilina, PhD, founder of Episteme and researcher at Paradigm Research InstituteDecentralized prediction markets are gaining ground in the scientific world, offering an intriguing answer to the field’s ongoing reproducibility crisis. While a notable share of research findings...

Prediction Markets Stir as Trump’s Trade War Strategy Evolves


Since April 2, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump has jolted global markets with a series of broad-based tariffs, some of which were temporarily halted this past Wednesday. Prediction markets have become a hotspot for wagers tied to Trump’s trade policies, drawing significant attention from...

Massachusetts subpoenas Robinhood over sports prediction markets


Massachusetts’ securities regulator has reportedly launched a probe over Robinhood’s prediction markets offering that has allowed users to bet on the outcomes for a slew of events, including basketball tournaments. Reuters reported on March 24 that Massachusetts Secretary Bill...

Massachusetts subpoenas Robinhood over sports prediction markets


Massachusetts’ securities regulator has reportedly launched a probe over Robinhood’s prediction markets offering that has allowed users to bet on the outcomes for a slew of events, including basketball tournaments. Reuters reported on March 24 that Massachusetts Secretary of State...

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