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CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver?
16.9.2024
As the U.S. central bank members prepare for their meeting on Wednesday, just a day ago, the likelihood of a 25-basis point (bps) rate cut versus a 50bps cut was evenly split at 50-50. Fast forward to today, and the odds are now tipping in favor of a larger 50bps reduction. Predictions from betting...
Second Assassination Attempt Barely Moves Trump's Polymarket Odds
16.9.2024
Nearly $1 billion has been bet on the crypto-based prediction market. Plus: are you ready for 20x leveraged election betting?
‘Explosion’ in election gambling will harm public interest: CFTC
16.9.2024
The US commodities regulator says prediction markets can be vulnerable to “spectacular manipulation.”
Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMC
15.9.2024
The market is holding out hope for a bigger rate cut as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) prepares to meet on Wednesday. Predictions from Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest there’s a growing expectation that a 50 basis points reduction could be in play. FOMC Meeting Could See Bigger...
Bettors on Polymarket See 69% Chance of Trump Launching a Token Before Election
14.9.2024
Two days ago, former President Donald Trump made headlines by announcing his family’s decentralized finance (defi) platform, World Liberty Financial, boldly claiming the initiative is “embracing the future with crypto.” Meanwhile, over on Polymarket, a blockchain-powered predictions platform, a...
Polymarket Bettors See 84% Chance of Donald Trump Starting His Own Token
13.9.2024
The bump came as Trump said he would launch the family-helmed World Liberty Financial project on Monday
Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability
12.9.2024
With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch...
Will Trump and Harris Debate Again? Polymarket Bets Say There’s a 60% Chance
12.9.2024
According to Polymarket’s betting odds, there’s a 60% chance we’ll see another debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, even though no additional debates are currently scheduled beyond the one held on Sept. 10, 2024. Bettors Place Their Bets on a Second...
Trump and Harris Neck and Neck After Heated Debate, Polymarket Shows
11.9.2024
Following the heated debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, Polymarket data revealed an intense tie between the two from 6 a.m. to 12 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, with each holding a 49% chance of winning. By 2:30 p.m., however, Trump edged ahead by a single...
The Protocol: Polymarket Bets Pay Off as Memecoin Memorializes 'Dwebate'
11.9.2024
Crypto wasn't even mentioned during Tuesday's U.S. presidential debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. But there was a parallel universe of often-ridiculous trading around the faceoff – taking place on blockchain-based prediction markets and memecoin...
Kamala Harris & Donald Trump Tie on Polymarket after Debate
11.9.2024
The world is fixated on the Presidential Elections between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump where crypto is taking…
Debate Effect on Polymarket: Trump Winning Odds Drop to 49%, Harris Rises to 49%
11.9.2024
‘Trump vs Harris Presidential Debate’ shows its effect with Polymarket prediction for Trump winning US elections dropping to…
Harris Won U.S. Presidential Debate Versus Trump, Polymarket Betting Suggests
11.9.2024
Vice President Kamala Harris appears to have beaten former President Donald Trump in the first debate between the U.S. presidential candidates on Tuesday, based on the direction of prediction bets on Polymarket, while crypto policy went unmentioned
Polymarket Bets on if Trump & Harris will mention Crypto in Presidential Debate
10.9.2024
As the next presidential debate approaches, the crypto community members are on high alert, wondering if Donald Trump…
Trump-Harris Debate: Polymarket Shows Slim Odds of Crypto Mention
10.9.2024
Presidential Debate Polymarket Odds: 74% Think Kamala Harris Will Win It
10.9.2024
World’s largest prediction market, Polymarket predicts, VP Kamala Harris will win the Presidential Debate that is scheduled for…
Harris Leads in Debate Betting, But Trump Dominates Swing States, Polymarket Shows
9.9.2024
A wager valued at $155K on the prediction platform Polymarket is betting on Vice President Kamala Harris emerging victorious in Tuesday’s debate against former President Donald Trump. According to the latest polls, Harris holds a commanding 76% chance of winning, with the data being updated...
Polymarket’s Traffic and Trading Volume Soar, $137.3M in September’s First 9 Days
9.9.2024
In just over a week, the blockchain-powered prediction market platform Polymarket has generated an impressive $137.3 million in trading volume, already outpacing the total volume recorded during June and all prior months this year. Last Friday, Polymarket reached its highest daily trading volume...
Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting
9.9.2024
Also, there are now prediction market contracts about other prediction market contracts
Trump Leads Harris by 7%, Wins Majority of Swing States, Polymarket Betting Shows
5.9.2024
According to recent Polymarket data, former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris by seven percentage points as of Sept. 5, 2024. Polymarket’s betting on six key swing states shows Trump leading in four, including Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Nevada. Trump Holds...