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Trump's Odds of Victory Hit All-Time High on Polymarket After Shooting
14.7.2024
The former president, who was injured at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday, now has a 69% chance of retaking the White House, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market. Trump-themed Polifi tokens and crypto broadly also rose
Trump’s Odds of Winning Presidential Election Soar in Prediction Markets After Assassination Attempt
14.7.2024
Former U.S. President and current presidential candidate Donald Trump was shot at a rally in Pennsylvania. Gunfire erupted while he was speaking, prompting Secret Service agents to rush him off the stage. Trump was seen with blood on the side of his head and ear. His chance of winning the November...
Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Jump Again on Polymarket Ahead of President's Press Conference
12.7.2024
Prediction market traders now see a 65% chance the president will quit the race
Crypto-Friendly Sen. JD Vance's Odds as Trump VP Pick Double on Polymarket
8.7.2024
Traders on the crypto-based prediction market now see a 29% chance that the Ohio Republican will be former President Trump’s running mate, up from 14% a week ago
Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong
8.7.2024
Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?
Biden's Odds on Polymarket Little Changed After ABC TV Interview
6.7.2024
The president's chances of reelection remain 12% and his probability of dropping out stayed at 63%, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform
Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Surge to Almost 80% on Polymarket After New York Times Report
3.7.2024
Kamala Harris' Odds of Winning Democratic Nomination Surge on Polymarket
3.7.2024
The vice president
Biden's Blunder Ignites Trading Frenzy on Polymarket
1.7.2024
Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market
39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting
28.6.2024
Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably. Betting Markets React to Joe Biden’s...
Polymarket Contradicts Its Oracle Service in Rarity for Prediction Market
27.6.2024
Nearly all UMA voters said that the son of Donald Trump was not involved in the creation of the DJT token
Vivek Ramaswamy’s VP Prospects Spike 1,100% on Prediction Market Polymarket
26.6.2024
Following speculation that former President Donald Trump might select Republican Vivek Ramaswamy as his vice presidential candidate, Ramaswamy’s chances have significantly increased on prediction platforms like Polymarket. Over the last three days, his odds have jumped by 1,100%. Ramaswamy...
Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Not Presidency, Prediction Market Signals
24.6.2024
Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the "preponderance of evidence" shows Barron Trump's involvement
Trump and Biden Likely Won't Shake Hands at Debate, Prediction Market Says
18.6.2024
Meanwhile, there's a prediction market on whether the U.K. newspaper The Guardian will correct an article about prediction markets
Will Trump Trounce Biden? Polymarket Traders Are Betting on It.
11.6.2024
With a 56% chance of winning, according to the prediction market's traders, the former president has a 22-point lead over the incumbent, far bigger than what the polls indicate
Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets
4.6.2024
Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts
Trump Widens Lead Over With Biden (on Polymarket and PredictIt) After Courting Crypto Vote
28.5.2024
Plus, how much longshot money was made betting on the SEC approving an Ethereum ETF?
Will RFK Jr. Debate Trump or Biden? Probably Not, Prediction Market Says
20.5.2024
Plus: Which cat-themed meme coin will hit $1 billion first?
Peter Thiel's Founders Fund, Vitalik Buterin Back $45M Investment in Polymarket
14.5.2024
The series B funding round comes during a breakout year for the crypto-based prediction market platform, and brings its total funding close to $75 million
Trump and Biden Tied on Polymarket, Diverging From Polls
13.5.2024
Other election contracts show a 35% chance of a Republican sweep of the presidency and both houses of Congress and a 27% chance Democrats control the Senate after the election