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Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Surge to Almost 80% on Polymarket After New York Times Report
3.7.2024
Kamala Harris' Odds of Winning Democratic Nomination Surge on Polymarket
3.7.2024
The vice president
Biden's Blunder Ignites Trading Frenzy on Polymarket
1.7.2024
Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market
39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting
28.6.2024
Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably. Betting Markets React to Joe Biden’s...
Polymarket Contradicts Its Oracle Service in Rarity for Prediction Market
27.6.2024
Nearly all UMA voters said that the son of Donald Trump was not involved in the creation of the DJT token
Vivek Ramaswamy’s VP Prospects Spike 1,100% on Prediction Market Polymarket
26.6.2024
Following speculation that former President Donald Trump might select Republican Vivek Ramaswamy as his vice presidential candidate, Ramaswamy’s chances have significantly increased on prediction platforms like Polymarket. Over the last three days, his odds have jumped by 1,100%. Ramaswamy...
Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Not Presidency, Prediction Market Signals
24.6.2024
Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the "preponderance of evidence" shows Barron Trump's involvement
Trump and Biden Likely Won't Shake Hands at Debate, Prediction Market Says
18.6.2024
Meanwhile, there's a prediction market on whether the U.K. newspaper The Guardian will correct an article about prediction markets
Will Trump Trounce Biden? Polymarket Traders Are Betting on It.
11.6.2024
With a 56% chance of winning, according to the prediction market's traders, the former president has a 22-point lead over the incumbent, far bigger than what the polls indicate
Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets
4.6.2024
Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts
Trump Widens Lead Over With Biden (on Polymarket and PredictIt) After Courting Crypto Vote
28.5.2024
Plus, how much longshot money was made betting on the SEC approving an Ethereum ETF?
Will RFK Jr. Debate Trump or Biden? Probably Not, Prediction Market Says
20.5.2024
Plus: Which cat-themed meme coin will hit $1 billion first?
Peter Thiel's Founders Fund, Vitalik Buterin Back $45M Investment in Polymarket
14.5.2024
The series B funding round comes during a breakout year for the crypto-based prediction market platform, and brings its total funding close to $75 million
Trump and Biden Tied on Polymarket, Diverging From Polls
13.5.2024
Other election contracts show a 35% chance of a Republican sweep of the presidency and both houses of Congress and a 27% chance Democrats control the Senate after the election
U.S. CFTC Proposes Ban on Political Event Contracts
10.5.2024
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed a formal rejection of event contracts that bet on the outcome of political activity in a vote on Friday, beginning an effort to wall off U.S. customers from platforms that allow the trading of predictive contracts
Polymarket Bets Reflect Low Confidence in Ethereum ETF Approval by SEC
7.5.2024
According to a wager on the decentralized betting platform Polymarket, the likelihood of a spot ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) gaining approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission currently stands at just 7%. This forecast commenced in January with a 76% probability of approval...
Elon Musk Will Likely Remain Tesla CEO, and Tweet Non-Stop: Prediction Markets
6.5.2024
Also: Trump faces likely conviction, per Polymarket punters; CFTC hearing to discuss political betting ban
Eigenlayer releases EIGEN white paper, bans airdrop for US users
29.4.2024
The EIGEN token will be used to form consensus around data that is off-chain but easily verifiable, such as whether someone won a bet or adequately stored data
Binance's CZ Will Spend Less Than a Year in Prison, Polymarket Traders Bet
29.4.2024
Also, the CFTC wants to bar Americans from betting on elections – even though it's already illegal in most U.S. states
Polymarket Odds Say Columbia University President Will Keep Job
22.4.2024
Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction market signals. Plus: Kalshi bettors don't think Taylor Swift will break her record