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Prediction Markets Can Hedge Crypto Startups' Regulatory Risk, Paradigm Says
2.2.2024
Coinbase co-founder Fred Ehrsham's venture capital firm filed a friend-of-the-court brief in Kalshi's case against the CFTC
He Exposed Harvard President's Plagiarism, Then Lost Money Betting on the Story
20.1.2024
Are prediction markets the future of investigative journalism? Maybe, says Chris Brunet, whose reporting led to Claudine Gay's resignation – though he's yet to profit from his scoops
Bitcoin ETF Frenzy Brings Windfall Volume to Decentralized Predictions Platform Polymarket
11.1.2024
Polymarket saw betting contracts worth more than $5.7 million change hands on Wednesday
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting for Crypto in 2024
18.12.2023
Which projects will do airdrops? Will Kraken go public? Will OpenSea launch a token? I have no idea, but traders with skin in the game think they do
CFTC Chief: Nothing Changed After FTX Meltdown to Empower Agency to Prevent Repeat
15.11.2023
U.S. regulators don't have any more authority now to head off another major crypto collapse than they did when FTX imploded and took much of the industry with it, said Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chairman Rostin Behnam
Are DeFi prediction markets on the verge of a big breakthrough?
19.10.2023
DeFi refers to decentralized finance. In a macro sense, prediction markets bring out the meaning for users to guess the outcome no matter the segment. However, DeFi Prediction Markets, together, form a union for people to assume the outcome of the movement of a digital asset. The answer has to...
Betting on Justice? Polymarket Odds Reveal Speculators’ Take on Bankman-Fried’s Trial
6.10.2023
As the trial for Sam Bankman-Fried begins this week, the cryptocurrency community is eagerly awaiting the verdict. Will Bankman-Fried be found guilty or not guilty? As the trial progresses, speculators are using the cryptocurrency prediction platform Polymarket to bet on the potential outcome....
Americans (Seemingly) Aren't Allowed to Put This Economic Theory to the Test
22.9.2023
CFTC Denies Kalshi’s Plan to Let Users Bet on Control of U.S. Congress
22.9.2023
Regulators said the plans weren't in the public interest, after a court squabble involving rival service PredictIt
Users on Ethereum’s Decentralized Polymarket Speculate on Biden’s Impeachment
19.9.2023
After the Republican House of Representatives speaker, Kevin McCarthy, directed the House to open an impeachment inquiry into Joe Biden, bettors on the cryptocurrency-powered Polymarket platform have started placing bets on whether Biden will be impeached by two specific dates. Currently, bettors...
BitMEX's Prediction Market is Now Live
13.9.2023
Current prediction market contracts revolve around FTX bankruptcy claim recoveries, the future of bitcoin ETFs, and Sam Bankman-Fried’s jail sentence
Polymarket Wagers Favor Trump for Nomination; Ramaswamy’s Bid Gains Momentum
25.8.2023
Following the initial Republican debate and an exclusive interview between Donald Trump and Tucker Carlson on the social media platform X, wagers on the decentralized prediction marketplace Polymarket suggest Trump is leading, with presidential hopeful Vivek Ramaswamy trailing the former president....
CFTC Kicks Off Review of Kalshi's Congressional Control Prediction Markets
24.6.2023
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission began a formal review and public comment period to evaluate prediction market Kalshi's proposed contracts to bet on who will control Congress
CFTC to Review Prediction Market Kalshi’s Contracts to Bet on Control of Congress
17.6.2023
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission will decide on June 26 whether to start a formal 90-day review of prediction market provider KalshiEX’s contract that allows users to bet on which party takes control of the U.S. Congress
Reverse Engineering the Future: Bitcoin.com Team Members Weigh In on ETHGlobal Tokyo Hackathon
18.4.2023
The ETHGlobal Tokyo hackathon drew to a close on Sunday, as builders from around the world competed for $375,000 in prizes. The event was kicked off with the first-ever ETHGlobal “Pragma” summit, sponsored by Verse, among others. Engineers and representatives from Bitcoin.com also...
First Mover Asia: Prediction Markets Split if Binance Will Pull Out of FTX Deal; Bitcoin Drops 11%
9.11.2022
Investors on PolyMarket think there’s a 45% chance that Binance will pull out of the FTX deal and a 55% chance the deal goes through
Wanna Bet? Crypto Prediction Markets Could Be a New ‘Source of Truth’
12.6.2022
Baserate's Andrew Eaddy and Clay Graubard made the case for empowering individuals through technology as trust in institutions declines
Forecasting, Prediction Markets and the Age of Better Information
4.6.2022
Quantified forecasting is an invaluable and yet underused tool, and prediction markets appear a vital tool for its adoption
Transient Presents: SPLASH – Your Web3 Home of Prediction Pools
2.5.2022
Transient is thrilled to present to users Splash, a decentralised hub for prediction pools covering all possible outcomes across a huge range of industries and opportunities—featuring in the first version: Crypto, Esports and Sports—all powered by Transient’s ecosystem of smart contracts. Splash...
Ukraine War Reached Prediction Markets Too
28.2.2022
The war in Ukraine continues. On one side stands Russia's well-equipped army, and on the other, Ukraine's persistent fighters whose morale has been lifted with recent "strategic" wins. In short, there is a lot of uncertainty.
Using this uncertainty, some speculators are making forecasts on...