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Nalezeno "kalshi": 495

Kalshi and Polymarket See US Government Shutdown as a Done Deal


Users of the largest prediction markets, Kalshi and Polymarket, consider the U.S. government shutdown a done deal. Bets open on both platforms put the probability above 78% as both parties refuse to budge. Kalshi, Polymarket Degens Bet on US Government Shutdown Event Prediction markets, including...

Fed Rate Watch: Consensus Leans Hard Toward a Quarter-Point Slice


Traders have practically written in pen a quarter-point cut, daring the U.S. Federal Reserve to prove them wrong at October’s meeting ahead. Quarter-Point Trim Leads the Board for October’s Fed Decision CME’s Fedwatch tool puts numbers to the hunch: with the target currently at 4.00% to 4.25%,...

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