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Can Bitcoin Hit $200K This Year? Prediction Markets Weigh the Odds
12.1.2025
On Jan. 12, 2025, bitcoin’s price has been drifting within the $95,000 range, while market participants on prediction platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket are placing their bets on its future trajectory. Currently, a Polymarket wager suggests a 12% likelihood that bitcoin could climb...
Polymarket's Customer Data Sought by CFTC Subpoena of Coinbase, Source Says
10.1.2025
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission is said to be seeking information about customers' interactions with the prediction market site Polymarket
Less than 1% of Microsoft Shareholders Voted for BTC Proposal
12.12.2024
Prediction markets were skeptical that such a motion would pass
Shayne Coplan: He Took Prediction Markets Mainstream
10.12.2024
In so doing, Polymarket's founder demonstrated a real-world consumer use case for crypto, earning him a spot on CoinDesk's Most Influential 2024 list
Mudslinging Sullies Prediction Markets Just as Sector's Prospects Brighten
25.11.2024
Kalshi paid social media influencers to talk trash about its rival Polymarket's founder, Shayne Coplan, an incendiary article in Pirate Wires revealed.Someone apparently decided to launch a retaliatory smear campaign against Kalshi. (Polymarket denies any involvement.)All of this is happening just...
Experts say prediction markets hold the key to seeing the future
20.11.2024
Predictions markets had an edge on the polls in the 2024 US election, but are they actually helping pundits predict the future?
Only Congress Can Ban Election Betting, Kalshi Tells Appeals Court in New Filing
18.11.2024
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) may not like election betting, but only Congress — not the regulator — has the authority to ban it, embattled prediction market purveyor Kalshi argued in a Friday court filing
Polymarket Trader Loses Millions on Tyson After Making Bank on Trump
18.11.2024
Plus: the market is not confident if Matt Gaetz will be confirmed as Trump's attorney general
Polymarket CEO's Home Is Raided by FBI
13.11.2024
Shayne Coplan's prediction market saw enormous activity leading up to the U.S. presidential election
Vitalik explores potential of ‘info finance’ as ETH tops $3K
9.11.2024
Ethereum’s Vitalik Buterin proposes “info finance” as a pioneering framework to harness blockchain and AI for factual insights
French Regulator Says It's 'Examining' Polymarket
7.11.2024
The scrutiny comes after a French national profited handsomely on the platform by placing large bets on Trump winning the U.S. election
Kalshi rolls out political betting contracts for Trump presidency
7.11.2024
The prediction market has listed contracts for betting on events including a prospective Trump impeachment
Polymarket vs. Polls: Trump’s Victory Vindicates Prediction Markets
7.11.2024
Haseeb Qureshi, managing partner at the VC crypto fund Dragonfly, believes that prediction markets like Polymarket have been vindicated after facing accusations of bias in anticipation of the U.S. election. Qureshi highlights that for-profit market makers are driven by potential earnings, giving...
Polymarket Projects a GOP House, Clinching Trump Trifecta
6.11.2024
If the prediction market's traders are right – and lately, they've been right – the election results are even more bullish for crypto than they appear
Polymarket, Prediction Betting Markets Vindicated by Trump's Strong Showing
6.11.2024
Tuesday night was a shocker if you only watched CNN. But not if you'd looked at the betting all along
Historic: Bitcoin Breaks All-Time High as Trump Gains Ground in Prediction Markets
6.11.2024
In a historic night for crypto markets, bitcoin has blown past its previous all-time high (ATH) numbers, reaching $75,000 on several exchanges. This price action comes on the heels of several favorable announcements supporting the possible victory of former President Donald Trump in the U.S....
Prediction Markets Give Trump the Edge on Election Day
5.11.2024
Recent numbers from prediction markets suggest that former President Donald Trump is holding a substantial edge over Vice President Kamala Harris. Battle for the White House Bettors have shown a consistent shift in support for Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. election race, leaving Kamala Harris...
U.S. Election Betting: Polymarket 'Manipulation' Claims Miss the Mark
4.11.2024
The manipulation narrative is an attempt by mainstream media to discredit Polymarket’s election odds and control the narrative, one expert said
If U.S. Election Is Disputed, Prediction Markets Could Face 'Hornet's Nest'
4.11.2024
How will Polymarket and Kalshi resolve their presidential bets if there's another Jan. 6 or Bush v. Gore situation?
Republican Sweep? What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting for Election Day
1.11.2024
With just four days left until the U.S. 2024 election, the latest prediction market data paints a shifting landscape: former President Donald Trump’s odds have taken a downturn, while Vice President Kamala Harris is enjoying an upswing in her chances. Trump’s Odds Slip, Harris Gains — What 2 Major...