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Nalezeno "No recession": 386

Goldman Sachs Lowers US Recession Risk to 20%

19.8.2024
Goldman Sachs economists have lowered the likelihood of a U.S. recession within the next year from 25% to 20%, citing recent data on retail sales and jobless claims. If the upcoming August jobs report, scheduled for release on September 6, shows favorable results, the probability of a recession...

UBS Urges Caution Despite Positive US Economic Data

18.8.2024
UBS reported on Friday that U.S. stocks extended their rally as new economic data, including a 1% rise in July retail sales, eased concerns about a potential recession. Despite the encouraging consumer resilience, UBS cautioned that the risk of a significant economic slowdown remains, especially...

Fedwatch Tool and Polymarket Indicate Strong Odds for September Rate Cut

18.8.2024
Right now, the market is leaning towards the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate at the Sept. 18, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The CME Fedwatch tool currently indicates a 75% likelihood of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut. Over on Polymarket, bettors...

Peter Schiff Urges the Fed to Raise Rates and Let Markets Crash

18.8.2024
Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has recommended that the Federal Reserve raise interest rates instead of cutting them, even if it leads to a market crash. He acknowledged that this approach would likely cause stocks and real estate to crash, result in a hard landing, and trigger...

Claudia Sahm Warns Fed: Delayed Rate Cuts Could Spur Unnecessary Recession

15.8.2024
In a detailed discussion with Kitco News, Claudia Sahm, founder of Sahm Consulting and chief economist at New Century Advisors, shared her insights on the U.S. economy. Despite rising recession concerns, Sahm emphasized that the current labor market still shows strength, suggesting the economy...

Economist Editorial Claims 2024 Recession Is Inevitable—Is America Ready?

13.8.2024
A U.S. recession in 2024 appears to be on the horizon, according to a recent editorial piece by the Economist. The article surfaces as warnings of an economic downturn grow louder, with the author asserting that “there is no escaping the squeeze ahead for America’s economy.” Economist Article...

Bloomberg’s Mike McGlone: Recession Fears Could Drive Gold to $3,000

9.8.2024
In a recent interview with Kitco News, Mike McGlone, Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, warned that the current economic situation might surpass the 2008 financial crisis in severity. Drawing comparisons to pre-2008 indicators, McGlone highlighted significant risks of increased...

Goldman Sachs CEO: Fed Unlikely to Cut Rates Before September

8.8.2024
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon expects the Federal Reserve to delay any emergency rate cuts until at least September despite weak job data, believing the U.S. economy will avoid a recession. Speaking on “The David Rubenstein Show,” Solomon indicated that while investors had anticipated...

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