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Prediction Market Data Shows Waning Confidence in January Bitcoin Breakout
8.1.2026
Bitcoin dipped to an intraday low of $89,343 on Thursday, Jan. 8, before stabilizing just above $90,000 by 11:25 a.m. EST, as prediction markets collectively pared back expectations for a six-figure January move. $100K Still Possible, but January Odds Are Sliding Across major prediction platforms...
Polymarket Enters the Newsroom Through Dow Jones Alliance
7.1.2026
Polymarket and Dow Jones, publisher of The Wall Street Journal, have struck an exclusive partnership to integrate real-time prediction market data across Dow Jones’ digital and print platforms. Under the agreement, Polymarket’s market-implied probabilities will appear across Dow Jones publications...
Polymarket Launches Real‑Estate Prediction Markets Using Parcl’s Housing Indices
6.1.2026
Parcl and Polymarket partner to create prediction markets that settle on daily housing‑price indices. Parcl, the onchain real‑estate data platform, and Polymarket, the prediction‑market exchange, announced a partnership to bring Parcl’s daily housing price indices to a new suite of real‑estate...
Prediction Markets Price Uncertainty as Venezuela Eyes New Leadership
5.1.2026
Since the U.S. removed Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, prediction markets tied to the Latin American nation have attracted large flows of capital. Two specific contracts focused on who will govern the country by the end of 2026 have already recorded close to $2 million in trading volume....
Maduro’s Fall Turns Long-Shot Polymarket Bets Into Overnight Wins
3.1.2026
A U.S. military operation removed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro from power early Jan. 3, 2026, abruptly resolving a series of high-profile Polymarket prediction markets that had been tracking his potential exit for months. Within hours of the announcement, contracts tied to Maduro’s removal...
How Much Is Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Worth? Polymarket Bets Tell the Story
28.12.2025
Prediction market bettors are pricing in a blockbuster outcome for Logan Paul’s famed Pikachu Illustrator card after the influencer-turned-collector confirmed plans to auction it in early 2026, igniting fresh debate over rarity, hype, and how far nostalgia-backed assets can really go. Logan Paul’s...
Prediction Markets Had Their Breakout Year in 2025 — and There Was No Going Back
25.12.2025
In 2025, prediction markets stopped acting like a sideshow and started behaving like a real financial category. Prediction Markets Go Mainstream What began as a niche experiment in forecasting elections and sports quietly evolved into a multibillion-dollar ecosystem touching Wall Street, media...
New Epstein Documents Fuel High-Stakes Bets on Polymarket and Kalshi
23.12.2025
After a flood of documents and photographs from the Jeffrey Epstein files dropped this month, even more material from the sprawling archive is expected to roll out under a U.S. Department of Justice release required by the Epstein Files Transparency Act. Since then, a Polymarket wager titled “Who...
Draftkings Taps CFTC Framework to Launch Predictions Marketplace App
19.12.2025
On Friday, Draftkings launched a standalone predictions app regulated under federal commodities law, formally entering the growing U.S. prediction markets sector and expanding beyond traditional sports betting into event-based contract trading. Draftkings Brings Event Contracts to U.S. Users...
Rip Higher or Roll Over? Prediction Market Wagers Suggest a Slower Climb Ahead for Bitcoin
19.12.2025
With bitcoin off 5.5% for the month of December on a returns basis, plenty of eyes are squinting at the chart and asking what comes next. To size things up, we leaned into the wisdom of the crowd and peeked at what today’s most active prediction markets are betting on. Myriad Bettors Still Favor...
Markets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone’s Bracing for the Aftershock
9.12.2025
Odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve trimming the federal funds rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) jumped on Tuesday, signaling that futures traders and prediction markets have all but planted a flag on a quarter-point cut as the likely outcome. Market Goes All-In on a Quarter-Point Trim...
Polymarket Hiring In-House Team to Trade Against Customers — Here's Why It's a Risk
5.12.2025
The prediction market’s move toward internal market making could blur the line with sportsbooks and undermine the platform’s neutrality, experts warn
Polymarket Reenters US Market as New App Rolls out to Waitlisted Users
3.12.2025
Polymarket officially reentered the U.S. on Wednesday with the rollout of its new mobile app to waitlisted users, marking its first domestic availability since 2021. Polymarket’s Mobile App Marks Its First Step Back Into the United States Polymarket announced Wednesday that its U.S. app is now live...
Trust Wallet Adds Prediction Markets for Real-World Event Trading
3.12.2025
Cryptocurrency wallet introduces native prediction markets feature, allowing users to trade on outcomes of global events directly within their existing wallet. Trust Wallet has launched a new Predictions feature, enabling users to trade on real-world events across categories including crypto...
Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi Assign Mixed Odds for Bitcoin’s Path Above $100K in 2025
30.11.2025
As of Sunday, Nov. 30, 2025, bitcoin is priced at $91,482, and odds from prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi show traders expecting potential gains but keeping their expectations firmly tethered to earth. As 2025 Nears the End, Prediction Market Odds Get Firmer Bitcoin is trading at $91,482...
Polymarket Secures CFTC Approval for Regulated U.S. Return
25.11.2025
Polymarket’s amended CFTC designation paves the way for the prediction-market platform to formally reopen in the U.S. with a fully regulated exchange structure
CME Futures and Betting Markets Align on Fed’s Potential Quarter-Point Cut in December
23.11.2025
Prediction markets are stacking their chips on a modest rate cut at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, even as policymakers publicly wrestle with conflicting data and internal divisions. Rate-Cut Odds Swing as Bettors React to Fed Rifts and Patchy Data Prediction markets are sending a clear...
Six-Figure Bitcoin Could Return, Yet Prediction Markets Expect a Tempered 2025 Close
19.11.2025
Prediction markets are buzzing as traders on Polymarket and Kalshi lay down odds on where bitcoin may land through 2025, and the numbers paint a far more grounded picture than the moonshot fantasies circulating online. Prediction Markets Show Strong Odds for Bitcoin Re-Capturing Six Figures to...
Asia Morning Briefing: Even Prediction Markets Didn’t See Bitcoin’s Selloff Coming
18.11.2025
A fast reset in downside odds mirrors QCP’s warning of flat-footed pro desks, with Glassnode highlighting oversold momentum and moderating ETF outflows
Major fantasy sports operator enters prediction markets with Polymarket
11.11.2025
PrizePicks has teamed up with Polymarket to let users wager on real-world outcomes, expanding beyond fantasy sports into the growing prediction-market space