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Institutional Investors Position for Bitcoin Volatility Into the U.S. Election
30.10.2024
Some $350 million notional value of November call options traded on CME with a breakeven bitcoin price of nearly $80,000, anticipating a rally next month, one analyst noted
Arthur Hayes' Maelstrom Hedges U.S. Election Uncertainty With Staked USDe; Holds Large BTC, ETH Bullish Bets
28.10.2024
"Given the uncertainty, Maelstrom has 5% of the fund in staked USDe (Ethena USD), earning roughly 13%," Hayes told CoinDesk
Institution Takes $25M Hedge Bet on Derive's Bitcoin Options Market as U.S. Election Looms
24.10.2024
The institution set up a multi-legged strategy in Derive's onchain options market, generating $25 million in volume
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
21.10.2024
In just three weeks, Kalshi's presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails Polymarket's $2 billion
BRICS Summit to Far Surpass US Presidential Election in Global Importance, Russian Official Claims
20.10.2024
The BRICS summit, not the U.S. presidential election, will be the defining event of global history, a Russian official claims. With BRICS expanding and 65% of its transactions now in national currencies, they argue the world is shifting away from U.S. dominance toward sovereign partnerships....
‘We’re Heading to 6-Figure Bitcoin’ — What’s Driving This Bold Prediction
20.10.2024
Bitcoin could reach six figures sooner than expected, driven by surging institutional flows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs), economic instability, and the U.S. presidential election, according to the chief investment officer of asset management firm Bitwise. The executive highlights factors like...
Republican Sweep in U.S. Election Would be the Most Bullish Outcome for Coinbase and the Crypto Market: Citi
18.10.2024
Republican control of the Senate would be key to passing bills such as FIT21 and appointing pro-crypto agency leaders, and digital asset reform would likely happen sooner with both chambers aligned, the report said
JPMorgan: We Are Bullish on Digital Assets Into 2025
18.10.2024
Global investment bank JPMorgan is bullish on cryptocurrency into 2025, driven by regulatory shifts and geopolitical tensions. Analysts suggest a Donald Trump re-election as the U.S. president could propel BTC higher, reinforcing the “debasement trade” as investors seek refuge...
U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court 'Erred' in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says
17.10.2024
A federal judge "erred" in letting prediction market purveyor Kalshi list and trade election contracts, attorneys for the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission argued in a brief to an appellate court Wednesday, reiterating many of the arguments it made during its case before the lower court
Kalshi Research Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
17.10.2024
A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics
History Suggests Crypto’s Bullish Momentum Should Continue Into the U.S. Election and Afterwards
16.10.2024
With less than three weeks until the U.S. presidential election, traders are positioning themselves for what’s to come after Nov. 5 and how a new administration will respond to factors affecting financial markets, including crypto
Bitcoin's Inverse Ties With Dollar Index Challenged as U.S. Election Looms
16.10.2024
Traders seek upside exposure in BTC even as FX option indicate a bias a bullish bias for the dollar index
Bitcoin Surge Looms as US Election Nears — Standard Chartered Predicts BTC Rally to $73,800
16.10.2024
Banking giant Standard Chartered is predicting a sharp rise in bitcoin’s value, with forecasts suggesting it could approach its all-time high of $73,800 as the U.S. presidential election nears. Rising Treasury yields, growing interest in bitcoin ETFs, and Trump’s improving election odds are...
QCP Capital: Bitcoin’s Potential for ‘Uptober’ Rally Mirrors Historic Election Trends
14.10.2024
QCP Capital analysts have noticed a significant rise in bitcoin (BTC), comparing it to similar patterns seen before past U.S. elections. Their latest report delves into the influence of historical price movements, current market dynamics, and upcoming events on the cryptocurrency’s future...
Bitcoin Breaks $65K, as Price Action Compared to Prior U.S. Election Cycles
14.10.2024
Trading firm QCP Capital said the move was similar to BTC's price action in 2016 and 2020 before the U.S. elections
Only 12.7% of crypto wallets report profits on Polymarket
9.10.2024
Only 12.7% of Polymarket users have made a profit in prediction markets, with the majority earning less than $100, according to onchain data
BTC’s Future in Focus: 4 Key Factors That Could Drive or Stall Its 2024 Rally
4.10.2024
At press time, the crypto economy is cruising at $2.14 trillion, following a modest uptick Friday morning. There are 88 days left in the year, 32 days until the 2024 U.S. Election Day, and 34 days until the Federal Reserve’s next meeting. With numerous developments, including rising tensions...
U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's
4.10.2024
With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House
Bitcoin, Gold Could Benefit From Rising Geopolitical Tension and U.S. Election: JPMorgan
4.10.2024
Geopolitical risk fueled by conflict in the Middle East and the upcoming U.S. election are likely to reinforce the debasement trade, to the benefit of both bitcoin and gold, the report said
Election Fever Pushes Polymarket to $533M in September, Setting New Records
3.10.2024
Polymarket hit new milestones in September, with trading volume climbing to $533.51 million, exceeding August’s $472 million. The blockchain-based predictions platform also saw a rise in active users, reaching 90,037, up 26,421 from the prior month. Polymarket Booms Ahead of U.S. Election: $533M...