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Polymarket Bets 10% on 2024 US Recession, Analyst Skeptical of Rate Cut’s Impact
25.8.2024
The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop...
U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Continue to Fall, No Longer Signal Recession
20.8.2024
The U.S. recession fears were partly responsible for the early August slide in stocks and cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin pinned below $60K — Is BTC consolidating or preparing for more downside?
19.8.2024
Institutional spot Bitcoin ETF outflows and lowered Bitcoin miner profitability could be driving the current price drop
Goldman Sachs lowers US recession risk to 20%, what it means for Bitcoin
19.8.2024
Goldman Sach’s economists said the Federal Reserve could also cut rates next month, and analysts say this could be welcomed by Bitcoin traders
Goldman Sachs Lowers US Recession Risk to 20%
19.8.2024
Goldman Sachs economists have lowered the likelihood of a U.S. recession within the next year from 25% to 20%, citing recent data on retail sales and jobless claims. If the upcoming August jobs report, scheduled for release on September 6, shows favorable results, the probability of a recession...
UBS Urges Caution Despite Positive US Economic Data
18.8.2024
UBS reported on Friday that U.S. stocks extended their rally as new economic data, including a 1% rise in July retail sales, eased concerns about a potential recession. Despite the encouraging consumer resilience, UBS cautioned that the risk of a significant economic slowdown remains, especially...
Fedwatch Tool and Polymarket Indicate Strong Odds for September Rate Cut
18.8.2024
Right now, the market is leaning towards the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate at the Sept. 18, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The CME Fedwatch tool currently indicates a 75% likelihood of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut. Over on Polymarket, bettors...
Robert Kiyosaki Advises Preparing for Crash Landing — Says ‘Time to Save Yourself’
18.8.2024
Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki has explained why he is preparing for a crash landing. He criticized U.S. leadership, including Vice President Kamala Harris, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, calling them “3-Stooges.” Kiyosaki advised...
Peter Schiff Urges the Fed to Raise Rates and Let Markets Crash
18.8.2024
Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has recommended that the Federal Reserve raise interest rates instead of cutting them, even if it leads to a market crash. He acknowledged that this approach would likely cause stocks and real estate to crash, result in a hard landing, and trigger...
Claudia Sahm Warns Fed: Delayed Rate Cuts Could Spur Unnecessary Recession
15.8.2024
In a detailed discussion with Kitco News, Claudia Sahm, founder of Sahm Consulting and chief economist at New Century Advisors, shared her insights on the U.S. economy. Despite rising recession concerns, Sahm emphasized that the current labor market still shows strength, suggesting the economy...
Economist Editorial Claims 2024 Recession Is Inevitable—Is America Ready?
13.8.2024
A U.S. recession in 2024 appears to be on the horizon, according to a recent editorial piece by the Economist. The article surfaces as warnings of an economic downturn grow louder, with the author asserting that “there is no escaping the squeeze ahead for America’s economy.” Economist Article...
Chance of Bitcoin price drop to $52K rises as derivatives show traders losing hope
12.8.2024
Worsening US macroeconomic data and some slight changes in the Bitcoin options market could be signs that BTC’s price weakness is set to intensify
Possible Bitcoin price drop to $52K rises as BTC derivatives data shows traders losing hope
12.8.2024
Worsening US macroeconomic data and some slight changes in the Bitcoin options market could be signs that BTC’s price weakness is set to intensify
Jamie Dimon Says US Recession Still on the Horizon as JPMorgan Increases Forecast
11.8.2024
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon reiterated his belief that a recession remains the most likely outcome for the U.S. economy. Dimon pointed to various uncertainties such as geopolitics, housing, and spending. Meanwhile, JPMorgan has raised the likelihood of a U.S. recession this year. Jamie Dimon...
Bloomberg’s Mike McGlone: Recession Fears Could Drive Gold to $3,000
9.8.2024
In a recent interview with Kitco News, Mike McGlone, Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, warned that the current economic situation might surpass the 2008 financial crisis in severity. Drawing comparisons to pre-2008 indicators, McGlone highlighted significant risks of increased...
Goldman Sachs CEO: Fed Unlikely to Cut Rates Before September
8.8.2024
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon expects the Federal Reserve to delay any emergency rate cuts until at least September despite weak job data, believing the U.S. economy will avoid a recession. Speaking on “The David Rubenstein Show,” Solomon indicated that while investors had anticipated...
Ex-Fed Advisor Suggests US Is Already in a Recession as Airbnb Cautions on Economic Slowdown
7.8.2024
On Tuesday, following a sharp downturn the day before, the top five U.S. benchmark indices made a recovery. However, Airbnb, the prominent vacation rental company, reported that it does not foresee a strong third quarter due to a slowdown in demand, driven by ongoing economic concerns. Meanwhile...
Markets blow up, so ‘the best prep is to have a plan to buy fear and sell euphoria’ — Veteran trader
6.8.2024
Pear Protocol founder HUF says “a limited pool of capital constantly rotating between narratives” is a clear sign of “late cycle behavior.”
Coinshares Sees $528 Million Outflow From Crypto Products Due to Recession Fears
6.8.2024
Coinshares, a digital asset investment firm, has reported a significant $528 million outflow from its crypto products last week, driven by growing recession fears. This substantial withdrawal reflects the heightened market uncertainty and investor caution amid economic downturn concerns. Despite...
Bitcoin falls to ‘extreme fear’ on Aug. 5 as ETFs outflow $168M
6.8.2024
The Crypto Fear and Greed Index recorded a score of 17 out of 100 on Aug. 5 — the lowest it has been since July 12, 2022