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CME Fedwatch Favors Half-Point Cut Ahead of FOMC Meeting
28.9.2024
In just 40 days, the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will gather to decide whether the central bank will lower the benchmark interest rate. This pivotal moment occurs two days after the 2024 U.S. Election Day. As it stands, CME futures data suggests that a half-point reduction...
Ethereum open interest hits 20-month high — Is this bullish or bearish for ETH?
20.9.2024
Ether’s futures open interest jumps to a 20-month high, but leverage demand remains balanced
Ethereum open interest hits 20-month high: Bullish or bearish for ETH?
20.9.2024
Ether’s futures open interest jumps to a 20-month high, but leverage demand remains balanced
Markets Await Fed Decision: Bitcoin Spikes, Gold Drops, Stocks Wobble
17.9.2024
Bitcoin saw its value leap to $61,331 on Tuesday, just a day before members of the U.S. Federal Reserve convene to discuss a potential rate cut for federal funds. While BTC posted a 5% gain, stock markets exhibited mixed signals, hovering near previous highs, and gold dipped more than half...
CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver?
16.9.2024
As the U.S. central bank members prepare for their meeting on Wednesday, just a day ago, the likelihood of a 25-basis point (bps) rate cut versus a 50bps cut was evenly split at 50-50. Fast forward to today, and the odds are now tipping in favor of a larger 50bps reduction. Predictions from betting...
Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMC
15.9.2024
The market is holding out hope for a bigger rate cut as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) prepares to meet on Wednesday. Predictions from Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest there’s a growing expectation that a 50 basis points reduction could be in play. FOMC Meeting Could See Bigger...
Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability
12.9.2024
With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch...
Ether CME Futures Volume Shrinks as ETH ETFs Disappoint, Crypto Market Ducks Risk
5.9.2024
The decline in trading volumes for ETH instruments suggests lower-than-expected institutional interest in the asset, particularly following the launch of spot ETH ETFs, according to CCData
Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction
2.9.2024
On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently...
Nasdaq Seeks SEC Approval to Launch Bitcoin Index Options
28.8.2024
Nasdaq has filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to list and trade Bitcoin Index Options. The company aims to provide new tools for institutional and retail investors to manage cryptocurrency investments. The options, pending regulatory approval, will offer European-style...
CME Group to Launch Bitcoin Friday Futures on Sept 30
28.8.2024
The world’s leading derivatives marketplace, CME Group will launch Bitcoin Friday futures (BFF) on September 30. From September…
Nasdaq aims to list Bitcoin Index options in US
27.8.2024
The announcement follows withdrawals of older applications, signaling progress with regulators.
CME to launch bite-sized Bitcoin ‘Friday’ futures in bid for retail
27.8.2024
Each futures contract is sized at one-50th of one Bitcoin.
Nasdaq wants to launch a Bitcoin index options, seeks SEC approval
27.8.2024
Options would allow institutional investors to hedge risks and traders to amplify their buying power.
Polymarket Bets 10% on 2024 US Recession, Analyst Skeptical of Rate Cut’s Impact
25.8.2024
The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop...
Fedwatch Tool and Polymarket Indicate Strong Odds for September Rate Cut
18.8.2024
Right now, the market is leaning towards the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate at the Sept. 18, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The CME Fedwatch tool currently indicates a 75% likelihood of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut. Over on Polymarket, bettors...
CPI Report Sparks Fed Rate Cut Hopes as Inflation Slows to 2.9%
14.8.2024
On Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics rolled out its latest consumer-price index (CPI) report, revealing a 2.9% increase over the past 12 months through July—falling just short of economists’ 3% forecast. This data nudged CME futures metrics upward, reflecting growing market...
BTC price eyes $58K CME gap as analysis flags 2 Bitcoin 'death crosses'
7.8.2024
Bitcoin faces issues with liquidity despite an admirable comeback from six-month lows — can BTC price upside last?
BTC price eyes $58K CME gap as analysis flags 2 Bitcoin death crosses
7.8.2024
Bitcoin faces issues with liquidity despite an admirable comeback from six-month lows — can BTC price upside last?
Bitcoin eyes $58K CME gap next as 8% BTC price rout sees longs 'rekt'
4.8.2024
BTC price weakness takes the market below $59,000 for the first time since mid-July as "relentless" Bitcoin selling pressure persists