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Ghislaine Maxwell’s Texas Transfer Sparks Wild Speculation on Prediction Markets
3.8.2025
This week, Ghislaine Maxwell—the convicted accomplice of disgraced sex offender Jeffrey Epstein—was quietly transferred from a Florida lockup to a low-security prison 950 miles away. Not long after, Polymarket lit up with a flurry of speculative betting action associated with Maxwell, tapping into...
Will Ghislaine Flip? Maxwell’s DOJ Meeting Sparks Polymarket Frenzy
25.7.2025
A swarm of high-stakes prediction markets on Polymarket are placing Ghislaine Maxwell and Jeffrey Epstein squarely at the center of a fresh round of speculation, just as Maxwell held a private meeting with the U.S. deputy attorney general. Markets Bet on Epstein Revelations After Ghislaine Maxwell...
Elon Musk’s xAI Partners With Kalshi to Bring Grok to Prediction Markets
24.7.2025
The partnership aims to use Grok’s AI to analyze real-world events for Kalshi’s regulated prediction markets
Obama-Russiagate Hoax Accusations Erupt: Prediction Markets Wager on Possible Indictments
24.7.2025
Former U.S. President Barack Obama was recently accused of colluding with members of his administration to fabricate what has been termed Russiagate, following a report alleging that Russia was involved in meddling with the 2016 presidential election. Prediction markets are already wagering on...
Polymarket to Re-Enter US Market After Acquiring Regulated Exchange QCX
21.7.2025
Crypto-betting platform Polymarket is set to return to the U.S. market after federal regulators closed investigations and it struck a deal to acquire derivatives exchange QCX. The Justice Department and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) formally notified Polymarket this month that probes...
Bettors Bet Big on Vance and Newsom: 2028 US Election Race Heats up Before It Even Starts
20.7.2025
Even with the 2028 election still more than three years off, prediction markets are already brimming with wagers. Currently, Polymarket participants are placing their bets on J.D. Vance to secure the Republican nomination, while Gavin Newsom is emerging as the top contender on the left. Naturally...
Polymarket Degens Bet on Astronomer CEO’s Divorce Following Kiss Cam Incident
18.7.2025
A Polymarket prediction market has emerged, allowing users to wager on the potential divorces of Astronomer CEO Andy Byron and Chief People Officer Kristin Cabot. This speculation began after the two went viral on social media for their appearance at a Coldplay concert. Polymarket Bets on Possible...
DOJ and CFTC Terminate Polymarket Investigations: Bloomberg
15.7.2025
U.S. authorities have closed investigations into crypto-betting platform Polymarket, signaling a regulatory shift under the Trump administration. Bloomberg reports that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) formally notified Polymarket this month that...
DOJ’s ‘Raw’ Epstein Video Was ‘Modified’ Using Adobe, Wired Investigation Finds
12.7.2025
A Wired report suggests that the prison footage of Jeffrey Epstein may have been altered using high-end editing software created by Adobe. On top of that, both Wired journalists and independent video forensics specialists suspect the footage released by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ)...
Bitcoin Price Prediction Bonanza: $10M Wagered on Moonshots, $200K in Sight
12.7.2025
As bitcoin pushes into uncharted price territory, speculators are letting their imaginations run wild—just how high can the top crypto climb? Over on prediction market Polymarket, bettors are giving it a 20% shot that BTC hits $130,000 before July wraps up. Prediction Market Bets Explode: $120K...
Bullish Bitcoin Bets Soar on Prediction Markets, $150K in Sight
6.7.2025
Traders on leading prediction markets are placing increasingly bullish bets that bitcoin ( BTC) will achieve record highs by the end of 2025, with overwhelming odds favoring a surge past $120,000. Prediction Markets Signal Confidence in Bitcoin Price Surge to $125K+ Prediction markets let traders...
Kalshi Joins Polymarket in Unicorn Club With Latest Fundraise: Report
25.6.2025
Kalshi has raised over $100 million at a valuation of $1 billion, according to a story from Bloomberg
US Bombs Iran, and Now Everyone’s Wagering on What’s Next
22.6.2025
After U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday evening that the U.S. had launched successful airstrikes on Iran, trading activity tied to the Middle East conflict on prediction markets lit up like a pinball machine. Gamble of War: Traders Bet on Invasion, Regime Collapse, and Nuclear Deals...
45% Odds US Military Will Strike Iran Before July—Markets on High Alert
17.6.2025
As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before...
Trump's CFTC Pick Says U.S. Can Boost Crypto Innovation and Shield Consumers
11.6.2025
Brian Quintenz told senators at his confirmation hearing for CFTC chairman that Congress needs to ensure "full promise" of digital assets' potential
Kalshi Continues to Double Down on Crypto, Adds Solana to Betting Arsenal
23.5.2025
On Friday, Kalshi—the federally regulated prediction exchange headquartered in New York City—disclosed that it now permits solana ( SOL) deposits for account funding. Solana Lands on Kalshi Established in July 2021 under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi...
Prediction Markets Traders Bet Big on Easy Liberal Win as Canadians Head to the Polls
28.4.2025
Political betting platforms show Mark Carney leading with a 78% chance of becoming Canada's next Prime Minister, while Pierre Poilievre has a 22% chance
Blockchain prediction markets offer new hope for scientific validation
23.4.2025
Opinion by: Sasha Shilina, PhD, founder of Episteme and researcher at Paradigm Research InstituteDecentralized prediction markets are gaining ground in the scientific world, offering an intriguing answer to the field’s ongoing reproducibility crisis. While a notable share of research findings...
Prediction Markets Stir as Trump’s Trade War Strategy Evolves
12.4.2025
Since April 2, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump has jolted global markets with a series of broad-based tariffs, some of which were temporarily halted this past Wednesday. Prediction markets have become a hotspot for wagers tied to Trump’s trade policies, drawing significant attention from...
U.S. Recession Odds Surge in Prediction Markets on Tariff Shock. What Next for BTC?
3.4.2025
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in an over-50% chance of a U.S. recession this year