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The Death of the 4-Year Cycle: Experts on Bitcoin’s New Macro Reality
8.1.2026
Bitcoin’s surge to $126K in October 2025 quickly unraveled after a liquidation cascade, ending the year below $100K and challenging the predictive power of the traditional 4‑year halving cycle. Analysts argue the market has entered a new regime shaped by institutional capital and exchange-traded...
Liquidity lifts bitcoin, but ‘halving cycle’ fears could limit rally in 2026, says Schwab
6.1.2026
Quantitative tightening is over and balance sheets are growing again, but cycle theory and adoption concerns still cloud bitcoin's upside, according to Schwab's Jim Ferraioli
Bitcoin RSI demands breakout as exec says 'RIP' to 4-year BTC price cycle
1.1.2026
Bitcoin entered a "new era" as the 2025 yearly candle closed red, said analysis, with BTC price volatility signals firing into the new year
Is the Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle Broken After 2025’s Unexpected Finish?
1.1.2026
Bitcoin’s long-observed four-year market cycle is facing renewed skepticism after the asset closed 2025 lower than it opened, a first for a post-halving year. For the First Time Ever, Bitcoin’s Post-Halving Year Ends in the Red The four-year cycle refers to a recurring pattern tied to Bitcoin’s...
Final nail in the 4-year cycle? BTC ends year after halving in the red
1.1.2026
Following the 2012 halving, Bitcoin surged to end the following year at a new high; and a similar pattern played out in 2016 and again in 2020
Is Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle broken — and if so, where to next?
30.12.2025
Analysts are split on whether Bitcoin’s typical four-year cycle has ended in 2025, with institutional ETFs and regulatory shifts cited as key factors
Gold knocks on a door that's been shut for 50 years as bitcoin tests a defining support
24.12.2025
Measured against U.S. money supply, gold is back at levels that marked major historical peaks, while bitcoin retraces toward a key cycle floor
Kraken IPO, M&A deals to reignite crypto's 'mid-stage' cycle: fund manager
24.12.2025
Kraken’s pending IPO and the wave of crypto companies seeking public listings may help the industry attract more TradFi capital
Bitcoin’s Cycle Turns as Cryptoquant Flags Demand Slowdown
20.12.2025
Bitcoin’s latest market phase looks less like a pause and more like a pivot, as Cryptoquant researchers say onchain demand exhaustion is now signaling the early stages of a bear market, according to a new analysis. Analysis Warns Bitcoin Demand Growth Is Now Below Trend Cryptoquant’s latest report...
Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer: Expect lame 2026 as four-year bitcoin cycle appears intact
20.12.2025
The director of global macro at the asset management giant remains a secular bull on bitcoin, but isn't optimistic about the next year
Grayscale Expects End of 4-Year Cycle with Institutional Investment
19.12.2025
Key Highlights Grayscale researchers have revealed that the “four-year cycle” has officially ended, as institutional investment in crypto…
It Feels Impossible To Trust Anything People Are Saying About Avengers: Doomsday Right Now
19.12.2025
The Marvel fandom has been stuck in a cycle of misinformation for years, and AI has made it worse
The post It Feels Impossible To Trust Anything People Are Saying About <em>Avengers: Doomsday</em> Right Now appeared first on Kotaku
Fidelity macro lead calls $65K Bitcoin bottom in 2026, end of bull cycle
19.12.2025
Fidelity’s director of macro is predicting a Bitcoin bottom near $65,000 in 2026, but remains a “secular bull” despite predicting an end to the current four-year cycle
Bitcoin's 'realized cap' holds at record high over $1 trillion, casting doubt on four-year cycle
18.12.2025
A very supportive macro backdrop is being ignored for now, said Bitwise's Andre Dragosch
Bitcoin $70K flush would reset cycle, not confirm new bear market: Analyst
17.12.2025
The likelihood of a Bitcoin correction to $70,000 has increased, but one analyst said the price drop would confirm a macroeconomic reset, rather than the start of a new bear market
Did Bitcoin's 4-year cycle break, and is the bull market really over?
17.12.2025
Bitcoin ETFs, corporate treasuries, and macro tailwinds are challenging BTC’s traditional four-year cycle, which could result in new all-time highs in 2026
Bitcoin long term holder supply hits 8 month low, breaking historical cycle patterns
17.12.2025
Repeated distribution waves from long-term holders highlight how this bitcoin cycle is breaking from historical norms
Crypto asset manager Bitwise says bitcoin will break its four-year cycle in 2026
16.12.2025
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan said BTC is likely to hit all-time highs next year, with lower volatility and weaker equity correlations reshaping how institutions view the asset
Fear and Greed Index in Fear 30% of the Past Year, Bitcoin Back in Extreme Fear
15.12.2025
The latest death cross in November has so far marked a bottom of around $80,000, aligning with prior examples this cycle
Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is intact, but driven by politics and liquidity: Analyst
14.12.2025
10x Research’s Markus Thielen says Bitcoin’s four-year cycle still exists but is now driven by politics, liquidity and elections rather than the halving