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Prediction markets like Polymarket a ‘public good,’ more accurate than polls
7.10.2024
While some say that prediction markets are a risk to democracy, others think they could serve the public by offering valuable insights and risk management tools
Trump Leads Harris on Polymarket After Musk Endorsement, but Trails in This Key State
7.10.2024
Elon Musk says that prediction markets are more accurate than polls
U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's
4.10.2024
With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House
US appeals court greenlights election prediction markets
2.10.2024
The ruling paves the way for election prediction markets to operate in the United States
U.S. Election Betting: Court Ends Pause on Kalshi's Congressional Contracts
2.10.2024
The CFTC "has failed to demonstrate that it or the public will suffer irreparable injury absent a stay pending appeal," an appeals court said, clearing the prediction market to resume listing the contracts
Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion
30.9.2024
Kamala Harris only leads by one percentage point, but is set to carry most of the swing states
CME Fedwatch Favors Half-Point Cut Ahead of FOMC Meeting
28.9.2024
In just 40 days, the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will gather to decide whether the central bank will lower the benchmark interest rate. This pivotal moment occurs two days after the 2024 U.S. Election Day. As it stands, CME futures data suggests that a half-point reduction...
Polymarket Reportedly Seeks $50M in Funding, Mulls Token as Election Bets Surge
24.9.2024
Investors in the proposed round would get warrants to buy tokens in the event the prediction market decides to issue one, The Information reported
Caroline Ellison Most Likely Won't Serve Time, Polymarket Traders Bet
23.9.2024
The market is skeptical about Qualcomm's Intel deal; prediction markets were the talk of the town at Token2049 in Singapore
Betting Markets and Polls Show Harris Ahead of Trump as Election Nears
22.9.2024
With only 44 days remaining until the U.S. election, the blockchain-powered predictions market Polymarket shows Vice President Kamala Harris slightly ahead in a wager against former President Donald Trump. As of Sunday, Sept. 22, Harris holds 52%, with Trump close on her heels at 47%. Harris Tops...
Prediction Markets Go to Washington('s Appeals Court)
20.9.2024
The CFTC is working to ban political prediction markets. Its current goal: Get a federal appeals court to keep one from launching while it argues a judge was mistaken in overturning its rejection of Kalshi
U.S. Election Betting: CFTC, Kalshi Both Grilled by Judges in Appeals Court
20.9.2024
A panel of judges grilled attorneys for the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and prediction-betting platform Kalshi over the company's efforts to launch political prediction markets in the U.S., without indicating whether they'd allow Kalshi to offer these products while reviewing a lower...
U.S. CFTC Chair Behnam Says Regulator Will Keep Pursuing Kalshi Case
17.9.2024
After the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission's court defeat last week in the agency's pursuit of Kalshi's election contracts, the regulator's chairman, Rostin Behnam, said it will still keep pursuing the case against what it continues to contend is illegal activity
A New Prediction Market Raises $3M in Pre-Seed Round Led by 1confirmation
17.9.2024
Unlike industry leader Polymarket, Limitless Network isn't focusing on the election. It's carving out a niche with contracts that expire quickly and user-created markets
DYdX to Debut Perpetual Futures on Prediction Markets as DEX Seeks to Raise Profile
17.9.2024
Decentralized finance needs to develop a unique offering relative to centralized venues, dYdX Foundation CEO Charles d'Haussy said
Second Assassination Attempt Barely Moves Trump's Polymarket Odds
16.9.2024
Nearly $1 billion has been bet on the crypto-based prediction market. Plus: are you ready for 20x leveraged election betting?
'An Explosion of Election Gambling' Is Nigh, CFTC Warns Appeals Court
15.9.2024
The regulator pleaded with the court to halt Kalshi's political prediction markets for the duration of the CFTC's appeal
Even Temporarily Blocking Election Contracts Risks 'Irreparable' Harm, Kalshi Argues
14.9.2024
Prediction market company Kalshi pushed back against the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's move to block its new election contracts, saying they would harm the company
U.S. Political Prediction Markets: Why Kalshi's Court Victory Matters
13.9.2024
If it turns out that the judge's ruling preempts the CFTC’s proposed rulemaking, election event contracts may now be completely legal
Kalshi's New Political Prediction Markets Halted as CFTC Appeals Loss
13.9.2024
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission appealed its loss against prediction markets platform Kalshi to the D.C. Appeals Court late Thursday