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Kalshi Research Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
17.10.2024
A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics
History Suggests Crypto’s Bullish Momentum Should Continue Into the U.S. Election and Afterwards
16.10.2024
With less than three weeks until the U.S. presidential election, traders are positioning themselves for what’s to come after Nov. 5 and how a new administration will respond to factors affecting financial markets, including crypto
Bitcoin's Inverse Ties With Dollar Index Challenged as U.S. Election Looms
16.10.2024
Traders seek upside exposure in BTC even as FX option indicate a bias a bullish bias for the dollar index
Bitcoin Surge Looms as US Election Nears — Standard Chartered Predicts BTC Rally to $73,800
16.10.2024
Banking giant Standard Chartered is predicting a sharp rise in bitcoin’s value, with forecasts suggesting it could approach its all-time high of $73,800 as the U.S. presidential election nears. Rising Treasury yields, growing interest in bitcoin ETFs, and Trump’s improving election odds are...
QCP Capital: Bitcoin’s Potential for ‘Uptober’ Rally Mirrors Historic Election Trends
14.10.2024
QCP Capital analysts have noticed a significant rise in bitcoin (BTC), comparing it to similar patterns seen before past U.S. elections. Their latest report delves into the influence of historical price movements, current market dynamics, and upcoming events on the cryptocurrency’s future...
Bitcoin Breaks $65K, as Price Action Compared to Prior U.S. Election Cycles
14.10.2024
Trading firm QCP Capital said the move was similar to BTC's price action in 2016 and 2020 before the U.S. elections
Only 12.7% of crypto wallets report profits on Polymarket
9.10.2024
Only 12.7% of Polymarket users have made a profit in prediction markets, with the majority earning less than $100, according to onchain data
BTC’s Future in Focus: 4 Key Factors That Could Drive or Stall Its 2024 Rally
4.10.2024
At press time, the crypto economy is cruising at $2.14 trillion, following a modest uptick Friday morning. There are 88 days left in the year, 32 days until the 2024 U.S. Election Day, and 34 days until the Federal Reserve’s next meeting. With numerous developments, including rising tensions...
U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's
4.10.2024
With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House
Bitcoin, Gold Could Benefit From Rising Geopolitical Tension and U.S. Election: JPMorgan
4.10.2024
Geopolitical risk fueled by conflict in the Middle East and the upcoming U.S. election are likely to reinforce the debasement trade, to the benefit of both bitcoin and gold, the report said
Election Fever Pushes Polymarket to $533M in September, Setting New Records
3.10.2024
Polymarket hit new milestones in September, with trading volume climbing to $533.51 million, exceeding August’s $472 million. The blockchain-based predictions platform also saw a rise in active users, reaching 90,037, up 26,421 from the prior month. Polymarket Booms Ahead of U.S. Election: $533M...
U.S. Election Betting: Court Ends Pause on Kalshi's Congressional Contracts
2.10.2024
The CFTC "has failed to demonstrate that it or the public will suffer irreparable injury absent a stay pending appeal," an appeals court said, clearing the prediction market to resume listing the contracts
Cleanspark CEO Predicts Bitcoin $200K Peak Within 18 Months
2.10.2024
Cleanspark CEO Zach Bradford predicts a dramatic rise in bitcoin’s value, forecasting a peak near $200,000 within the next 18 months. His outlook suggests rapid growth followed by stability, driven by bitcoin’s current price behavior and broader market dynamics. He also links the U.S....
Bitcoin Ends Historic September With a Dip, but Breakout May Not Come Before U.S. Election
30.9.2024
U.S. Election Betting: CFTC, Kalshi Both Grilled by Judges in Appeals Court
20.9.2024
A panel of judges grilled attorneys for the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and prediction-betting platform Kalshi over the company's efforts to launch political prediction markets in the U.S., without indicating whether they'd allow Kalshi to offer these products while reviewing a lower...
Iranian Hackers, Labor Unions, Bombscare And ‘Crypto Burgers’ Are Reshaping U.S. Election 2024
19.9.2024
The U.S. elections are less than two months away and it seems voters are not the only ones…
Standard Chartered: Bitcoin Could Hit $125K Under Trump, $75K Under Harris
13.9.2024
Standard Chartered has reaffirmed its projection that bitcoin will hit new all-time highs by the end of 2024, regardless of the U.S. election outcome. The bank’s digital assets head predicts bitcoin could reach $125,000 under Trump or $75,000 under Harris, with temporary drops under a Harris...
U.S. Election Betting: CFTC Loses Last-Minute Bid to Halt Kalshi Contract
12.9.2024
The agency plans to appeal the case brought by the trading platform, and could still ask the higher court to stop the firm from listing the contracts
Crypto Industry Holds Its Breath as US Election Debate Fails to Clarify Economic Policy
12.9.2024
After the first election debate, QCP Capital shared its perspective on how the U.S. election could influence the cryptocurrency market. According to the firm, investors remain cautious as their attention shifts to key macroeconomic indicators and the upcoming election decision. The CEO of Chirp,...
U.S. Election Betting: What's at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown
12.9.2024
Here's how to listen to Thursday's hearing in the closely watched federal court case over political prediction markets, and why it matters