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U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court 'Erred' in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says
17.10.2024
A federal judge "erred" in letting prediction market purveyor Kalshi list and trade election contracts, attorneys for the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission argued in a brief to an appellate court Wednesday, reiterating many of the arguments it made during its case before the lower court
Kamala Harris’s Odds of Winning Take a Major Hit After Fox News Interview, Shaking up the 2024 Race
17.10.2024
Following a ‘testy’ interview with Bret Baier on Fox News, Vice President Kamala Harris has seen her odds of winning the election drop sharply to 38.7%, according to Polymarket bettors. Meanwhile, former President Donald Trump’s odds have climbed to 61.3%, reflecting a significant shift in...
Polymarket Volume Hits Record $917M in October—How Much Higher Could It Go?
17.10.2024
According to recent data, Polymarket’s October trading volume has already eclipsed September’s figures, with two weeks still remaining in the month. Impressively, the volume has hit a record high, approaching $1 billion in just over two weeks, ahead of the 2024 U.S. election. $917M and Growing:...
Kalshi election betting contracts multiply after court win
16.10.2024
The prediction marketplace has certified more than a dozen political event contracts since prevailing in a court battle in September
Kalshi election betting contracts multiply after court win
16.10.2024
The prediction marketplace has certified more than a dozen political event contracts since prevailing in a court battle in September
Prediction markets rise 565% in Q3, fueled by US elections
14.10.2024
Decentralized prediction markets could offer more accurate predictions for the US elections than traditional polling systems, according to Elon Musk
Trump Takes Significant Lead Over Harris in Polymarket Odds for 2024 Election Win
10.10.2024
On Thursday, betting activity on Polymarket indicated that former President Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the race for the 2024 election. As of press time, Trump’s odds stand at 55.8%, with Harris trailing at 43.7%. This shift in favor of Trump has been observed...
Only 12.7% of crypto wallets report profits on Polymarket
9.10.2024
Only 12.7% of Polymarket users have made a profit in prediction markets, with the majority earning less than $100, according to onchain data
Bitcoin Betting Is Launching an Unstoppable DeFi App for Sports Betting and Prediction Markets With No KYC
8.10.2024
Bitcoin Betting is launching its cutting-edge DeFi app, designed for sports betting and prediction markets. The app targets semi-professional sports bettors who value privacy, high limits, great odds and peace of mind, knowing that their funds are secure and can always be withdrawn within seconds...
Kalshi US election betting live after court win
7.10.2024
Betting on US political outcomes is permitted for the first time weeks ahead of the November presidential election
Polymarket Odds: Trump Seizes Big Lead Over Harris in White House Race
7.10.2024
According to Polymarket’s post on the social platform X, former President Donald Trump is nearing his largest lead since Vice President Kamala Harris joined the race. As of 12:11 p.m. EDT, Trump is in front with a 53% chance, while Harris follows closely with 46.4%. Trump Grabs Strong Lead Over...
Polymarket Sees Shifts in Satoshi Nakamoto Betting Odds Ahead of HBO Film Release
7.10.2024
With the HBO documentary set to release on Wednesday, claiming to reveal the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, Polymarket bettors are actively speculating on who it might be. As of this writing, Len Sassaman, who previously led the wagers, has fallen behind, while Blockstream’s Adam Back now leads...
Prediction markets like Polymarket a ‘public good,’ more accurate than polls
7.10.2024
While some say that prediction markets are a risk to democracy, others think they could serve the public by offering valuable insights and risk management tools
DC Circuit Court Rules Kalshi’s US Election Bets Legal
5.10.2024
This week, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit has ruled in favor of the predictions market Kalshi, allowing the commodities exchange to offer event contracts based on the outcome of U.S. congressional elections. Circuit Judge Millett’s opinion supports the legality...
U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's
4.10.2024
With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House
Polymarket Bettors Place Their Wagers: Will HBO Reveal Satoshi Nakamoto?
4.10.2024
After the announcement that Satoshi Nakamoto’s true identity could be unmasked next week in an HBO documentary, Polymarket bettors are buzzing with excitement, speculating who it might be. On Friday, with $190,533 wagered, Len Sassaman emerged as the frontrunner, holding a 49% likelihood....
Election Fever Pushes Polymarket to $533M in September, Setting New Records
3.10.2024
Polymarket hit new milestones in September, with trading volume climbing to $533.51 million, exceeding August’s $472 million. The blockchain-based predictions platform also saw a rise in active users, reaching 90,037, up 26,421 from the prior month. Polymarket Booms Ahead of U.S. Election: $533M...
US appeals court greenlights election prediction markets
2.10.2024
The ruling paves the way for election prediction markets to operate in the United States
U.S. Election Betting: Court Ends Pause on Kalshi's Congressional Contracts
2.10.2024
The CFTC "has failed to demonstrate that it or the public will suffer irreparable injury absent a stay pending appeal," an appeals court said, clearing the prediction market to resume listing the contracts
Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion
30.9.2024
Kamala Harris only leads by one percentage point, but is set to carry most of the swing states