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Nalezeno "Odds": 1053

45% Odds US Military Will Strike Iran Before July—Markets on High Alert


As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before...

Bitcoin breakout odds climb as all-time highs meet $90K dip warning


Key points:Bitcoin refuses to budge from a narrow range as traders consider the likely breakout direction.Price discovery is keenly awaited, but downside predictions include levels further toward $90,000.BTC/USD has delivered highly patterned moves since its rebound began in April.Bitcoin (BTC)...

Bitcoin breakout odds climb as all-time highs meet $90K dip warning


Key points:Bitcoin refuses to budge from a narrow range as traders consider the likely breakout direction.Price discovery is keenly awaited, but downside predictions include levels further toward $90,000.BTC/USD has delivered highly patterned moves since its rebound began in April.Bitcoin (BTC)...

Polymarket Bettors Put 56% Odds on Trump Eliminating Capital Gains Tax


Polymarket bettors currently place a 56% probability on U.S. President Donald Trump abolishing the long-term capital gains tax in 2025. Though Trump has yet to address the matter directly, policy documents aligned with his agenda—as well as proposals from right-leaning think tanks—have consistently...

Bitcoin price about to ‘blast’ higher as Fed rate cut odds jump to 60%


Key takeaways:Bitcoin holds $95,000 as Fed rate cut odds rise to 60% for June 18 and the US economy slumps.Breaking $95,000 could push BTC’s price toward $100,000, while dropping below $93,000 may bring the $84,000 back into the picture.Key Bitcoin levels to watch remain around the long-term...

XRP traders predict new all-time highs as ETF approval odds rise to 85%


Key takeaways:XRP ETF approval odds rise to 85% following a SEC leadership change.Analysts predict XRP could rise to new all-time highs again in 2025.XRP price dropped by 5% over the past 24 hours as US GDP data showed a shrinking economy. However, a strengthening market structure...

XRP traders predict new all-time highs as ETF approval odds rise to 85%


Key takeaways:XRP ETF approval odds rise to 85% following a SEC leadership change.Analysts predict XRP could rise to new all-time highs again in 2025.XRP price dropped by 5% over the past 24 hours as US GDP data showed a shrinking economy. However, a strengthening market structure...

Bloomberg Intelligence boosts Solana ETF approval odds to 90%


Bloomberg Intelligence has boosted its estimated odds of US regulators approving a Solana exchange-traded fund (ETF) in 2025 to 90%, according to an April 30 post on the X platform. The company also set more favorable chances of approval for other altcoin ETFs, including proposed funds holding...

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