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Polymarket whale raises Trump odds, sparking manipulation concerns
18.10.2024
Assessing potential manipulation in prediction markets is becoming increasingly important, with less than three weeks until the US presidential election
Polymarket whale raises Trump odds, sparking manipulation concerns
18.10.2024
Assessing potential manipulation in prediction markets is becoming increasingly important, with less than three weeks until the US presidential election
U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court 'Erred' in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says
17.10.2024
A federal judge "erred" in letting prediction market purveyor Kalshi list and trade election contracts, attorneys for the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission argued in a brief to an appellate court Wednesday, reiterating many of the arguments it made during its case before the lower court
Kalshi Research Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
17.10.2024
A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics
Kalshi election betting contracts multiply after court win
16.10.2024
The prediction marketplace has certified more than a dozen political event contracts since prevailing in a court battle in September
Kalshi election betting contracts multiply after court win
16.10.2024
The prediction marketplace has certified more than a dozen political event contracts since prevailing in a court battle in September
Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided
14.10.2024
Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north
Prediction markets rise 565% in Q3, fueled by US elections
14.10.2024
Decentralized prediction markets could offer more accurate predictions for the US elections than traditional polling systems, according to Elon Musk
Bitcoin Betting Is Launching an Unstoppable DeFi App for Sports Betting and Prediction Markets With No KYC
8.10.2024
Bitcoin Betting is launching its cutting-edge DeFi app, designed for sports betting and prediction markets. The app targets semi-professional sports bettors who value privacy, high limits, great odds and peace of mind, knowing that their funds are secure and can always be withdrawn within seconds...
Kalshi US election betting live after court win
7.10.2024
Betting on US political outcomes is permitted for the first time weeks ahead of the November presidential election
Prediction markets like Polymarket a ‘public good,’ more accurate than polls
7.10.2024
While some say that prediction markets are a risk to democracy, others think they could serve the public by offering valuable insights and risk management tools
Trump Leads Harris on Polymarket After Musk Endorsement, but Trails in This Key State
7.10.2024
Elon Musk says that prediction markets are more accurate than polls
U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's
4.10.2024
With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House
US appeals court greenlights election prediction markets
2.10.2024
The ruling paves the way for election prediction markets to operate in the United States
U.S. Election Betting: Court Ends Pause on Kalshi's Congressional Contracts
2.10.2024
The CFTC "has failed to demonstrate that it or the public will suffer irreparable injury absent a stay pending appeal," an appeals court said, clearing the prediction market to resume listing the contracts
Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion
30.9.2024
Kamala Harris only leads by one percentage point, but is set to carry most of the swing states
CME Fedwatch Favors Half-Point Cut Ahead of FOMC Meeting
28.9.2024
In just 40 days, the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will gather to decide whether the central bank will lower the benchmark interest rate. This pivotal moment occurs two days after the 2024 U.S. Election Day. As it stands, CME futures data suggests that a half-point reduction...
Polymarket Reportedly Seeks $50M in Funding, Mulls Token as Election Bets Surge
24.9.2024
Investors in the proposed round would get warrants to buy tokens in the event the prediction market decides to issue one, The Information reported
Caroline Ellison Most Likely Won't Serve Time, Polymarket Traders Bet
23.9.2024
The market is skeptical about Qualcomm's Intel deal; prediction markets were the talk of the town at Token2049 in Singapore
Betting Markets and Polls Show Harris Ahead of Trump as Election Nears
22.9.2024
With only 44 days remaining until the U.S. election, the blockchain-powered predictions market Polymarket shows Vice President Kamala Harris slightly ahead in a wager against former President Donald Trump. As of Sunday, Sept. 22, Harris holds 52%, with Trump close on her heels at 47%. Harris Tops...