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Nalezeno "Polymarket": 1345

US Bombs Iran, and Now Everyone’s Wagering on What’s Next


After U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday evening that the U.S. had launched successful airstrikes on Iran, trading activity tied to the Middle East conflict on prediction markets lit up like a pinball machine. Gamble of War: Traders Bet on Invasion, Regime Collapse, and Nuclear Deals...

45% Odds US Military Will Strike Iran Before July—Markets on High Alert


As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before...

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