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Polymarket Odds on U.S. Military Action Against Iran Slide as Trump Team Proposes Tehran Talks
17.6.2025
Odds of U.S. military strike against Iran before July slide
Polymarket and Kalshi Traders Bet Big on Ethereum’s $6K Moonshot
15.6.2025
Ethereum ( ETH) has had a bumpy year, tumbling 24% since Jan. 1 and sitting a whopping 48% below its peak price. But don’t count ETH out just yet—prediction markets are buzzing with optimism. Over on Polymarket, 25% of traders are betting ETH will hit $3,000 by the end of the month, while Kalshi’s...
Polymarket Data: Strait of Hormuz Closure Odds Nearly Double After Israel’s Strikes on Iran
14.6.2025
As of June 14, the likelihood of Iran blocking or closing the Strait of Hormuz has risen to 47%, nearly doubling from 24% on June 11. Strait of Hormuz Closure Threatens Global Trade The odds of Iran blocking or closing the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical maritime...
Prediction Market Frenzy: Musk-Trump War Fuels Bizarre Political Wagers
8.6.2025
Ever since tensions flared between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, markets have seesawed and social media has lit up with fiery takes on the so-called “Big Beautiful Bill.” The clash between the sitting U.S. president and the world’s wealthiest individual has also sent prediction markets into a frenzy....
Polymarket, Elon Musk’s X Announce Prediction Market Partnership
6.6.2025
Polymarket has partnered with Elon Musk’s xAI to enable data sharing between their platforms, integrating the prediction marketplace with Grok AI and X content. Grok AI to Contextualize Prediction Markets The partnership, announced on June 6, 2025, connects Polymarket’s prediction markets...
Polymarket Partners Up With Elon Musk's xAI
6.6.2025
Shayne Coplan, the prediction market's CEO, said that the two "truth-seeking apps" would be stronger together
Betting Big: Will Bitcoin Top $150K by Year’s End? 37% of Polymarket Bettors Think So
15.5.2025
Having lingered above the $100,000 threshold for over a week, bitcoin’s analysts and enthusiasts are meticulously dissecting every price move in pursuit of hints about its next direction. Meanwhile, prediction markets assign a considerable likelihood of bitcoin preserving its six-figure status...
Polymarket Bettors Put 56% Odds on Trump Eliminating Capital Gains Tax
12.5.2025
Polymarket bettors currently place a 56% probability on U.S. President Donald Trump abolishing the long-term capital gains tax in 2025. Though Trump has yet to address the matter directly, policy documents aligned with his agenda—as well as proposals from right-leaning think tanks—have consistently...
Bettors Lose Millions Predicting the New Pope as Polymarket Edge Fizzles Out
9.5.2025
The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls
Polymarket bets on Mark Carney for PM as Canadians head to the polls
28.4.2025
Update (April 29 at 12:40 am UTC): This article has been updated to include information on Elon Musk’s and Brian Armstrong’s citizenships.Crypto users betting on the outcome of the snap election to determine Canada’s next prime minister appear to be favoring a Liberal Party...
Polymarket bets on Mark Carney win as Canadians head to the polls
28.4.2025
Crypto users betting on the outcome of the snap election to determine the next Prime Minister of Canada appear to be favoring a Liberal Party victory as residents head to cast their votes.As of April 28, cryptocurrency betting platform Polymarket gave current Canadian Prime Minister and Liberal...
Prediction Markets Traders Bet Big on Easy Liberal Win as Canadians Head to the Polls
28.4.2025
Political betting platforms show Mark Carney leading with a 78% chance of becoming Canada's next Prime Minister, while Pierre Poilievre has a 22% chance
Polymarket Sees 79% Odds for US Solana ETF Amid 11% Weekly Gain
18.4.2025
After several solana-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) debuted on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX), solana climbed more than 11% over the past seven days, earning its place as the leading gainer among the ten largest crypto assets by market capitalization. Solana Advances 11% on TSX ETF Debut;...
JPMorgan and Polymarket Align on Rising 2025 Recession Probability
5.4.2025
After two consecutive days of steep declines on Wall Street, forecasts of a looming recession have grown even more prevalent—intensifying even more so since the moment U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping tariffs across global markets on April 2. Trump’s Trade Policy Sparks Economic...
Wall Street Bleeds $2.85T as Polymarket Degens Bet on Recession, Now a 49% Probability
3.4.2025
Speculators on Polymarket are wagering substantial sums on a contract gauging the likelihood of a U.S. economic downturn by 2025. After President Donald Trump’s divisive tariff policy was announced, the probability implied by market activity has risen to nearly 50%. Tariffs, Tumbles and Trades...
U.S. Recession Odds Surge in Prediction Markets on Tariff Shock. What Next for BTC?
3.4.2025
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in an over-50% chance of a U.S. recession this year
Polymarket, UMA Communities Lock Horns After $7M Ukraine Bet Resolves
27.3.2025
The bet was resolved as 'yes' despite no official agreement, leading to suspicions of manipulation by a large UMA token holder, but Polymarket defended the UMA voting process
XRP ETF ‘obvious’ as Polymarket bettors up approval odds to 85%
26.3.2025
Crypto community members are growing more optimistic about an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval following the resolution of a multi-year legal battle between Ripple and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). On March 19, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse announced...
Polymarket faces scrutiny over $7M Ukraine mineral deal bet
26.3.2025
Polymarket, the world’s largest decentralized prediction market, is under fire after a controversial outcome raised concerns over potential governance manipulation in a high-stakes political bet.A betting market on the platform asked whether US President Donald Trump would accept a rare earth...
Polymarket Suffers UMA Governance Attack After Rouge Actor Becomes Top-5 Token Staker
26.3.2025
BornTooLate.Eth has accumulated over 1.3 million UMA tokens to attack a Ukraine-themed market — but nobody has appeared to have made much money