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Nalezeno "Odds": 441

45% Odds US Military Will Strike Iran Before July—Markets on High Alert


As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before...

Bitcoin breakout odds climb as all-time highs meet $90K dip warning


Key points:Bitcoin refuses to budge from a narrow range as traders consider the likely breakout direction.Price discovery is keenly awaited, but downside predictions include levels further toward $90,000.BTC/USD has delivered highly patterned moves since its rebound began in April.Bitcoin (BTC)...

Bitcoin breakout odds climb as all-time highs meet $90K dip warning


Key points:Bitcoin refuses to budge from a narrow range as traders consider the likely breakout direction.Price discovery is keenly awaited, but downside predictions include levels further toward $90,000.BTC/USD has delivered highly patterned moves since its rebound began in April.Bitcoin (BTC)...

Polymarket Bettors Put 56% Odds on Trump Eliminating Capital Gains Tax


Polymarket bettors currently place a 56% probability on U.S. President Donald Trump abolishing the long-term capital gains tax in 2025. Though Trump has yet to address the matter directly, policy documents aligned with his agenda—as well as proposals from right-leaning think tanks—have consistently...

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