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39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting
28.6.2024
Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably. Betting Markets React to Joe Biden’s...
Vivek Ramaswamy’s VP Prospects Spike 1,100% on Prediction Market Polymarket
26.6.2024
Following speculation that former President Donald Trump might select Republican Vivek Ramaswamy as his vice presidential candidate, Ramaswamy’s chances have significantly increased on prediction platforms like Polymarket. Over the last three days, his odds have jumped by 1,100%. Ramaswamy...
Donald Trump’s VP Contenders: A Look at Polymarket Odds and Favorites
23.6.2024
With the 2024 election set for November, there’s growing curiosity about whom former President Donald Trump will select as his vice-presidential candidate. Currently, the decentralized prediction market Polymarket is featuring bets on a wide array of potential candidates, with this weekend...
Polymarket Bets Show Growing Confidence in Trump’s Election Victory Over Biden
9.6.2024
Ten days ago, after former President Donald Trump was convicted on 34 counts connected to a hush-money scheme, Polymarket bets indicated his chances of winning the 2024 election still stood at 54%, compared to incumbent President Joe Biden’s 40%. Since that time, the gap between Trump and Biden...
Conviction Fails to Deter Donald Trump’s 2024 Election Odds, According to Polymarket Bets
31.5.2024
Following the landmark news of former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 counts related to a hush-money scheme allegedly influencing the 2016 election, data from the Polygon-powered prediction market Polymarket shows Trump still leading in forecast bets for the 2024 election. Convicted...
How Many Years Will SBF Get? Jury's Out on Betting Platform Polymarket
25.3.2024
Plus: Tesla's delivery numbers will fall short of record, Kalshi traders signal; "Ghostbusters" fandom underestimated
He Exposed Harvard President's Plagiarism, Then Lost Money Betting on the Story
20.1.2024
Are prediction markets the future of investigative journalism? Maybe, says Chris Brunet, whose reporting led to Claudine Gay's resignation – though he's yet to profit from his scoops
Users on Ethereum’s Decentralized Polymarket Speculate on Biden’s Impeachment
19.9.2023
After the Republican House of Representatives speaker, Kevin McCarthy, directed the House to open an impeachment inquiry into Joe Biden, bettors on the cryptocurrency-powered Polymarket platform have started placing bets on whether Biden will be impeached by two specific dates. Currently, bettors...
Crypto prediction markets turn against Trump after first debate
1.10.2020
Emerging Ethereum-powered predictions platform Polymarket produced six-figure volume amid the first presidential debates