Search
Polymarket: Odds of Strait of Hormuz Disruption Dive from 52% to 11% Post Iran Strike
24.6.2025
Polymarket data revealed a significant drop in the likelihood of Iran blocking the Strait of Hormuz, from 52% to 11%, after it opted to target U.S. bases in Qatar instead. U.S. Warning According to Polymarket data, the odds of Iran following through on its threat to block the Strait of Hormuz...
US Bombs Iran, and Now Everyone’s Wagering on What’s Next
22.6.2025
After U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday evening that the U.S. had launched successful airstrikes on Iran, trading activity tied to the Middle East conflict on prediction markets lit up like a pinball machine. Gamble of War: Traders Bet on Invasion, Regime Collapse, and Nuclear Deals...
Polymarket Predicts Iran Nuclear Facility Destruction Before Official Announcements
22.6.2025
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market, claimed to have accurately predicted the destruction of Iran’s nuclear facilities prior to official announcements from U.S. President Donald Trump and The New York Times. The platform reported the confirmation at 7:49 PM, just one minute...
The Probability of Iran Blocking Strait of Hormuz Surges to 52% On Polymarket After Trump's Air Strikes on Iran's Nuclear Facility
22.6.2025
BTC held above $100K, continuing its boring multi-week rangeplay
Polymarket gives US stablecoin bill 89% chance of becoming law
20.6.2025
The platform launched the betting market for the GENIUS Act after the US Senate passed it on Tuesday
Polymarket gives US stablecoin bill 89% chance of becoming law
20.6.2025
The platform launched the betting market for the GENIUS Act after the US Senate passed it on Tuesday
Polymarket gives US stablecoin bill 89% chance of becoming law
20.6.2025
The platform launched the betting market for the GENIUS Act after the US Senate passed it on Tuesday
Polymarket gives US stablecoin bill 89% chance of becoming law
20.6.2025
The platform launched the betting market for the GENIUS Act after the US Senate passed it on Tuesday
45% Odds US Military Will Strike Iran Before July—Markets on High Alert
17.6.2025
As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before...
Polymarket Odds on U.S. Military Action Against Iran Slide as Trump Team Proposes Tehran Talks
17.6.2025
Odds of U.S. military strike against Iran before July slide
Polymarket and Kalshi Traders Bet Big on Ethereum’s $6K Moonshot
15.6.2025
Ethereum ( ETH) has had a bumpy year, tumbling 24% since Jan. 1 and sitting a whopping 48% below its peak price. But don’t count ETH out just yet—prediction markets are buzzing with optimism. Over on Polymarket, 25% of traders are betting ETH will hit $3,000 by the end of the month, while Kalshi’s...
Polymarket Data: Strait of Hormuz Closure Odds Nearly Double After Israel’s Strikes on Iran
14.6.2025
As of June 14, the likelihood of Iran blocking or closing the Strait of Hormuz has risen to 47%, nearly doubling from 24% on June 11. Strait of Hormuz Closure Threatens Global Trade The odds of Iran blocking or closing the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical maritime...
Prediction Market Frenzy: Musk-Trump War Fuels Bizarre Political Wagers
8.6.2025
Ever since tensions flared between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, markets have seesawed and social media has lit up with fiery takes on the so-called “Big Beautiful Bill.” The clash between the sitting U.S. president and the world’s wealthiest individual has also sent prediction markets into a frenzy....
Polymarket, Elon Musk’s X Announce Prediction Market Partnership
6.6.2025
Polymarket has partnered with Elon Musk’s xAI to enable data sharing between their platforms, integrating the prediction marketplace with Grok AI and X content. Grok AI to Contextualize Prediction Markets The partnership, announced on June 6, 2025, connects Polymarket’s prediction markets...
Polymarket Partners Up With Elon Musk's xAI
6.6.2025
Shayne Coplan, the prediction market's CEO, said that the two "truth-seeking apps" would be stronger together
Betting Big: Will Bitcoin Top $150K by Year’s End? 37% of Polymarket Bettors Think So
15.5.2025
Having lingered above the $100,000 threshold for over a week, bitcoin’s analysts and enthusiasts are meticulously dissecting every price move in pursuit of hints about its next direction. Meanwhile, prediction markets assign a considerable likelihood of bitcoin preserving its six-figure status...
Polymarket Bettors Put 56% Odds on Trump Eliminating Capital Gains Tax
12.5.2025
Polymarket bettors currently place a 56% probability on U.S. President Donald Trump abolishing the long-term capital gains tax in 2025. Though Trump has yet to address the matter directly, policy documents aligned with his agenda—as well as proposals from right-leaning think tanks—have consistently...
Bettors Lose Millions Predicting the New Pope as Polymarket Edge Fizzles Out
9.5.2025
The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls
Polymarket bets on Mark Carney for PM as Canadians head to the polls
28.4.2025
Update (April 29 at 12:40 am UTC): This article has been updated to include information on Elon Musk’s and Brian Armstrong’s citizenships.Crypto users betting on the outcome of the snap election to determine Canada’s next prime minister appear to be favoring a Liberal Party...
Polymarket bets on Mark Carney win as Canadians head to the polls
28.4.2025
Crypto users betting on the outcome of the snap election to determine the next Prime Minister of Canada appear to be favoring a Liberal Party victory as residents head to cast their votes.As of April 28, cryptocurrency betting platform Polymarket gave current Canadian Prime Minister and Liberal...