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Trump's Odds of Victory Hit All-Time High on Polymarket After Shooting
14.7.2024
The former president, who was injured at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday, now has a 69% chance of retaking the White House, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market. Trump-themed Polifi tokens and crypto broadly also rose
Trump’s Odds of Winning Presidential Election Soar in Prediction Markets After Assassination Attempt
14.7.2024
Former U.S. President and current presidential candidate Donald Trump was shot at a rally in Pennsylvania. Gunfire erupted while he was speaking, prompting Secret Service agents to rush him off the stage. Trump was seen with blood on the side of his head and ear. His chance of winning the November...
Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Jump Again on Polymarket Ahead of President's Press Conference
12.7.2024
Prediction market traders now see a 65% chance the president will quit the race
Polymarket Odds of Biden Dropping Out Spike to 61% After Pelosi Urges 2024 Decision
10.7.2024
On Wednesday, former U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi urged President Joe Biden to decide soon on whether to run, stating that “time is running short.” Following this, Polymarket bets surged to 61% in the afternoon, reflecting the odds of Biden stepping down. Currently, those odds have...
Crypto-Friendly Sen. JD Vance's Odds as Trump VP Pick Double on Polymarket
8.7.2024
Traders on the crypto-based prediction market now see a 29% chance that the Ohio Republican will be former President Trump’s running mate, up from 14% a week ago
Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong
8.7.2024
Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?
2024 Election Bets Propel Polymarket to $111 Million in June Volume
6.7.2024
According to metrics, the prediction market Polymarket has experienced notable volume over the past few weeks, with the firm reporting it accrued over $100 million in June and $8.2 million on the day the 2024 presidential candidates Donald Trump and Joe Biden debated on stage. The Rising Influence...
Biden's Odds on Polymarket Little Changed After ABC TV Interview
6.7.2024
The president's chances of reelection remain 12% and his probability of dropping out stayed at 63%, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform
Biden’s reelection odds brush single digits on Polymarket
5.7.2024
Former U.S. President Donald Trump is still in the lead at odds at 61%, while U.S. Vice President and Democrat Kamala Harris is second with 19% odds
Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Surge to Almost 80% on Polymarket After New York Times Report
3.7.2024
Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Surges to 55% on PolyMarket as Obama Raises 'Concerns' About Presidential Campaign
3.7.2024
Traders are now giving a 55% chance President Biden abandons his campaign and a 42% chance he does it before the Democratic convention
Kamala Harris' Odds of Winning Democratic Nomination Surge on Polymarket
3.7.2024
The vice president
Trump’s 2024 Election Odds Jump to 66% on Polymarket; GOP Expected to Control Congress
3.7.2024
Donald Trump’s prospects of winning the 2024 election have risen, with the prediction market Polymarket reporting his odds at 66% as of July 2, 2024. Meanwhile, a wager worth $294 million indicates that incumbent President Joe Biden’s chances stand at 18%. Trump Favored Over Biden in 2024 Election...
Biden's Blunder Ignites Trading Frenzy on Polymarket
1.7.2024
Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market
Polymarket monthly volume hits $100M as presidential race heats up
1.7.2024
There are now over $200 million worth of bets on who will win the United States presidential election — now just four months out
Polymarket Bet on Biden Dropping Out Rises to 50% as Camp David Retreat Fuels Speculation
30.6.2024
This weekend, following the first presidential debate of 2024, the prediction market Polymarket, powered by Polygon, saw a shift in the wager regarding whether incumbent President Joe Biden will withdraw from the race. Just two days prior, the odds of Biden stepping down were at 39%, and as of June...
39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting
28.6.2024
Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably. Betting Markets React to Joe Biden’s...
Trump Surges to 67% in Polymarket Odds Post Presidential Debate
28.6.2024
Biden's chances at becoming the Democratic nominee also slid to 70%, while Gavin Newsom's odds jumped to 15%
Polymarket rules out Barron Trump’s role in Donald Trump-themed token
27.6.2024
Polymarket raised doubts about the outcome of the UMA voting, and they will announce an effective solution soon. According to UMA, a decentralized truth machine used by Polymarket, Barron Trump is not involved in the Solana-focused DJT token. The team at Polymarket, the cryptocurrency-based betting...
Polymarket Contradicts Its Oracle Service in Rarity for Prediction Market
27.6.2024
Nearly all UMA voters said that the son of Donald Trump was not involved in the creation of the DJT token