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Several AI Chatbots Predict Trump Victory in 2024 Election, Two Decline to Answer
27.7.2024
Over recent weeks, Bitcoin.com News has been covering prediction markets linked to the U.S. election. Our newsdesk also tested various artificial intelligence (AI) chatbots to forecast the prices of bitcoin, gold, and ethereum by the end of 2024. In this particular experiment, we consulted nine...
Harris vs. Trump: Polls Show Tight Race as Betting and Prediction Markets Favor Trump
24.7.2024
After Kamala Harris announced her candidacy for the U.S. presidency in the 2024 election, recent polls show she is performing competitively against Donald Trump in hypothetical matchups. However, betting markets suggest Trump is favored to win, with Polymarket odds giving Trump a 63% chance over...
Polymarket Trading Explodes as 2024 Election Enters Uncharted Territory
22.7.2024
The Protocol: Polymarket Feeds Political Junkies, With Nate Silver
17.7.2024
In this week's issue of CoinDesk's blockchain tech newsletter, we look at the "alternative news source" that Polymarket's prediction-betting site has become
Polymarket Hires Nate Silver After Taking in $265M of Bets on U.S. Election: Report
17.7.2024
As the U.S. presidential election enters its final stretch, crypto-based prediction market platform Polymarket is striking while the iron is hot by hiring popular statistician and writer Nate Silver as an adviser
Trump Odds on Polymarket Hit Another All-Time High After Vance VP Pick
16.7.2024
Traders on the crypto-based prediction market now see a 72% chance the former president will retake the White House
Trump’s Election Odds Continue to Surge Post-Assassination Attempt: Polymarket Bets Hit 71%
15.7.2024
Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the chances of winning the 2024 general election up to 71%....
U.S. Secret Service Chief Probably Won't Be Fired, Polymarket Bets Signal
15.7.2024
Plus: Another all-time high for Trump's odds of victory; bettors think bitcoin will continue its green streak until the end of week
Trump's Odds of Victory Hit All-Time High on Polymarket After Shooting
14.7.2024
The former president, who was injured at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday, now has a 69% chance of retaking the White House, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market. Trump-themed Polifi tokens and crypto broadly also rose
Trump’s Odds of Winning Presidential Election Soar in Prediction Markets After Assassination Attempt
14.7.2024
Former U.S. President and current presidential candidate Donald Trump was shot at a rally in Pennsylvania. Gunfire erupted while he was speaking, prompting Secret Service agents to rush him off the stage. Trump was seen with blood on the side of his head and ear. His chance of winning the November...
Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Jump Again on Polymarket Ahead of President's Press Conference
12.7.2024
Prediction market traders now see a 65% chance the president will quit the race
Crypto-Friendly Sen. JD Vance's Odds as Trump VP Pick Double on Polymarket
8.7.2024
Traders on the crypto-based prediction market now see a 29% chance that the Ohio Republican will be former President Trump’s running mate, up from 14% a week ago
Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong
8.7.2024
Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?
Biden's Odds on Polymarket Little Changed After ABC TV Interview
6.7.2024
The president's chances of reelection remain 12% and his probability of dropping out stayed at 63%, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform
Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Surge to Almost 80% on Polymarket After New York Times Report
3.7.2024
Kamala Harris' Odds of Winning Democratic Nomination Surge on Polymarket
3.7.2024
The vice president
Biden's Blunder Ignites Trading Frenzy on Polymarket
1.7.2024
Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market
39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting
28.6.2024
Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably. Betting Markets React to Joe Biden’s...
Polymarket Contradicts Its Oracle Service in Rarity for Prediction Market
27.6.2024
Nearly all UMA voters said that the son of Donald Trump was not involved in the creation of the DJT token
Vivek Ramaswamy’s VP Prospects Spike 1,100% on Prediction Market Polymarket
26.6.2024
Following speculation that former President Donald Trump might select Republican Vivek Ramaswamy as his vice presidential candidate, Ramaswamy’s chances have significantly increased on prediction platforms like Polymarket. Over the last three days, his odds have jumped by 1,100%. Ramaswamy...