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Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMC


The market is holding out hope for a bigger rate cut as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) prepares to meet on Wednesday. Predictions from Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest there’s a growing expectation that a 50 basis points reduction could be in play. FOMC Meeting Could See Bigger...

Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability


With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch...

Microsoft Promises No games Cancelled Amid 650 More Xbox Jobs Cut


Microsoft is laying off another 650 employees from its Xbox gaming division, the company announced in an overnight companywide memo. Microsoft Gaming CEO Phil Spencer stressed that no new games were being cancelled or studio closed as a result of the latest round of cuts. Read more

Calm Markets: Stocks, Crypto, and Gold Show Little Movement Post CPI


The latest consumer price index (CPI) from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that inflation cooled to 2.5% in August, marking the slowest rate since 2021. Meanwhile, core CPI, which strips out the fluctuating food and energy sectors, posted a 0.3% increase for the month. Stocks, Bitcoin...

Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction


On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently...

Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Boom as Central Banks Cut Interest Rates


Bitmex co-founder Arthur Hayes is optimistic about bitcoin’s future, citing recent interest rate cuts by central banks. He believes further rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank could expand the money supply and drive inflation. Hayes argues that...

UBS Predicts Further Weakening of US Dollar


UBS predicts further depreciation of the U.S. dollar due to narrowing interest rate differentials, ongoing U.S. fiscal deficit concerns, and a shift in global central bank strategies. Despite a brief rally, UBS has downgraded the U.S. dollar to its Least Preferred status, while upgrading the euro...

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