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Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Surges to 55% on PolyMarket as Obama Raises 'Concerns' About Presidential Campaign
3.7.2024
Traders are now giving a 55% chance President Biden abandons his campaign and a 42% chance he does it before the Democratic convention
Kamala Harris' Odds of Winning Democratic Nomination Surge on Polymarket
3.7.2024
The vice president
Trump’s 2024 Election Odds Jump to 66% on Polymarket; GOP Expected to Control Congress
3.7.2024
Donald Trump’s prospects of winning the 2024 election have risen, with the prediction market Polymarket reporting his odds at 66% as of July 2, 2024. Meanwhile, a wager worth $294 million indicates that incumbent President Joe Biden’s chances stand at 18%. Trump Favored Over Biden in 2024 Election...
Biden's Blunder Ignites Trading Frenzy on Polymarket
1.7.2024
Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market
Polymarket monthly volume hits $100M as presidential race heats up
1.7.2024
There are now over $200 million worth of bets on who will win the United States presidential election — now just four months out
Polymarket Bet on Biden Dropping Out Rises to 50% as Camp David Retreat Fuels Speculation
30.6.2024
This weekend, following the first presidential debate of 2024, the prediction market Polymarket, powered by Polygon, saw a shift in the wager regarding whether incumbent President Joe Biden will withdraw from the race. Just two days prior, the odds of Biden stepping down were at 39%, and as of June...
39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting
28.6.2024
Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably. Betting Markets React to Joe Biden’s...
Trump Surges to 67% in Polymarket Odds Post Presidential Debate
28.6.2024
Biden's chances at becoming the Democratic nominee also slid to 70%, while Gavin Newsom's odds jumped to 15%
Polymarket rules out Barron Trump’s role in Donald Trump-themed token
27.6.2024
Polymarket raised doubts about the outcome of the UMA voting, and they will announce an effective solution soon. According to UMA, a decentralized truth machine used by Polymarket, Barron Trump is not involved in the Solana-focused DJT token. The team at Polymarket, the cryptocurrency-based betting...
Polymarket Contradicts Its Oracle Service in Rarity for Prediction Market
27.6.2024
Nearly all UMA voters said that the son of Donald Trump was not involved in the creation of the DJT token
Vivek Ramaswamy’s VP Prospects Spike 1,100% on Prediction Market Polymarket
26.6.2024
Following speculation that former President Donald Trump might select Republican Vivek Ramaswamy as his vice presidential candidate, Ramaswamy’s chances have significantly increased on prediction platforms like Polymarket. Over the last three days, his odds have jumped by 1,100%. Ramaswamy...
Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Not Presidency, Prediction Market Signals
24.6.2024
Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the "preponderance of evidence" shows Barron Trump's involvement
Donald Trump’s VP Contenders: A Look at Polymarket Odds and Favorites
23.6.2024
With the 2024 election set for November, there’s growing curiosity about whom former President Donald Trump will select as his vice-presidential candidate. Currently, the decentralized prediction market Polymarket is featuring bets on a wide array of potential candidates, with this weekend...
Polymarket gambler face charges after Taiwan election bet
18.6.2024
A man in Taiwan faces charges for using the crypto betting platform Polymarket to wager on the 2024 elections
Trump and Biden Likely Won't Shake Hands at Debate, Prediction Market Says
18.6.2024
Meanwhile, there's a prediction market on whether the U.K. newspaper The Guardian will correct an article about prediction markets
Will Trump Trounce Biden? Polymarket Traders Are Betting on It.
11.6.2024
With a 56% chance of winning, according to the prediction market's traders, the former president has a 22-point lead over the incumbent, far bigger than what the polls indicate
Betting Odds Odds Suggest 24% Chance Joe Biden Will Exit 2024 Election Race
11.6.2024
According to a bet on Polymarket, a decentralized predictions platform powered by Polygon, there’s a wager on whether current U.S. President Joe Biden will exit the 2024 election race. Currently, the likelihood of Biden stepping down has grown over the past few months to a 24% probability,...
Polymarket Bets Show Growing Confidence in Trump’s Election Victory Over Biden
9.6.2024
Ten days ago, after former President Donald Trump was convicted on 34 counts connected to a hush-money scheme, Polymarket bets indicated his chances of winning the 2024 election still stood at 54%, compared to incumbent President Joe Biden’s 40%. Since that time, the gap between Trump and Biden...
Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets
4.6.2024
Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts
Conviction Fails to Deter Donald Trump’s 2024 Election Odds, According to Polymarket Bets
31.5.2024
Following the landmark news of former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 counts related to a hush-money scheme allegedly influencing the 2016 election, data from the Polygon-powered prediction market Polymarket shows Trump still leading in forecast bets for the 2024 election. Convicted...