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CFTC Loses Round One: Kalshi Cleared to Offer US Election Bets


A federal judge this week sided with the prediction market Kalshi’s motion for summary judgment in its legal battle with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This decision opens the door for U.S. citizens to place bets on the upcoming November election. However, the ruling isn’t...

Fed Report Explores How Crypto Price Changes Affect Ownership


A report by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s Consumer Finance Institute found that cryptocurrency ownership declined during market downturns, despite price increases in bitcoin. Data from multiple surveys showed that crypto interest and ownership did not rise, even as prices surged....

Elon Musk Can’t Wait to Reform US Government Spending and Regulations


Tesla CEO Elon Musk has expressed his eagerness to tackle excessive waste and regulations in the U.S. government, responding to a report that former President Trump is considering him for a role in auditing federal agencies. Musk emphasized the need to reduce wasteful spending to curb inflation...

Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction


On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently...

SEC Warns FTX Over Legality of Crypto Asset Distribution in Chapter 11 Plan


The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has raised concerns over FTX’s plan to pay back claims using its “crypto asset securities.” The SEC’s Senior Trial Counsel, Therese Scheuer, has reserved the right to challenge these transactions under federal securities laws. FTX’s Crypto...

Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Boom as Central Banks Cut Interest Rates


Bitmex co-founder Arthur Hayes is optimistic about bitcoin’s future, citing recent interest rate cuts by central banks. He believes further rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank could expand the money supply and drive inflation. Hayes argues that...

UBS Predicts Further Weakening of US Dollar


UBS predicts further depreciation of the U.S. dollar due to narrowing interest rate differentials, ongoing U.S. fiscal deficit concerns, and a shift in global central bank strategies. Despite a brief rally, UBS has downgraded the U.S. dollar to its Least Preferred status, while upgrading the euro...

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