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Peter Thiel's Founders Fund, Vitalik Buterin Back $45M Investment in Polymarket
14.5.2024
The series B funding round comes during a breakout year for the crypto-based prediction market platform, and brings its total funding close to $75 million
Trump and Biden Tied on Polymarket, Diverging From Polls
13.5.2024
Other election contracts show a 35% chance of a Republican sweep of the presidency and both houses of Congress and a 27% chance Democrats control the Senate after the election
U.S. CFTC Proposes Ban on Political Event Contracts
10.5.2024
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed a formal rejection of event contracts that bet on the outcome of political activity in a vote on Friday, beginning an effort to wall off U.S. customers from platforms that allow the trading of predictive contracts
Polymarket Bets Reflect Low Confidence in Ethereum ETF Approval by SEC
7.5.2024
According to a wager on the decentralized betting platform Polymarket, the likelihood of a spot ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) gaining approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission currently stands at just 7%. This forecast commenced in January with a 76% probability of approval...
Elon Musk Will Likely Remain Tesla CEO, and Tweet Non-Stop: Prediction Markets
6.5.2024
Also: Trump faces likely conviction, per Polymarket punters; CFTC hearing to discuss political betting ban
Eigenlayer releases EIGEN white paper, bans airdrop for US users
29.4.2024
The EIGEN token will be used to form consensus around data that is off-chain but easily verifiable, such as whether someone won a bet or adequately stored data
Binance's CZ Will Spend Less Than a Year in Prison, Polymarket Traders Bet
29.4.2024
Also, the CFTC wants to bar Americans from betting on elections – even though it's already illegal in most U.S. states
Polymarket Odds Say Columbia University President Will Keep Job
22.4.2024
Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction market signals. Plus: Kalshi bettors don't think Taylor Swift will break her record
How to Design Better On-Chain Governance
27.3.2024
An introduction to Futarchy and combinatorial prediction markets
How Many Years Will SBF Get? Jury's Out on Betting Platform Polymarket
25.3.2024
Plus: Tesla's delivery numbers will fall short of record, Kalshi traders signal; "Ghostbusters" fandom underestimated
U.S. CFTC's Behnam Says Agency Writing New Policy on Prediction Markets
12.3.2024
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chair Rostin Behnam said his agency will propose a rule in the coming months to establish new regulations for prediction markets
He Exposed Harvard President's Plagiarism, Then Lost Money Betting on the Story
20.1.2024
Are prediction markets the future of investigative journalism? Maybe, says Chris Brunet, whose reporting led to Claudine Gay's resignation – though he's yet to profit from his scoops
Bitcoin ETF Frenzy Brings Windfall Volume to Decentralized Predictions Platform Polymarket
11.1.2024
Polymarket saw betting contracts worth more than $5.7 million change hands on Wednesday
CFTC Chief: Nothing Changed After FTX Meltdown to Empower Agency to Prevent Repeat
15.11.2023
U.S. regulators don't have any more authority now to head off another major crypto collapse than they did when FTX imploded and took much of the industry with it, said Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chairman Rostin Behnam
Betting on Justice? Polymarket Odds Reveal Speculators’ Take on Bankman-Fried’s Trial
6.10.2023
As the trial for Sam Bankman-Fried begins this week, the cryptocurrency community is eagerly awaiting the verdict. Will Bankman-Fried be found guilty or not guilty? As the trial progresses, speculators are using the cryptocurrency prediction platform Polymarket to bet on the potential outcome....
Americans (Seemingly) Aren't Allowed to Put This Economic Theory to the Test
22.9.2023
CFTC Denies Kalshi’s Plan to Let Users Bet on Control of U.S. Congress
22.9.2023
Regulators said the plans weren't in the public interest, after a court squabble involving rival service PredictIt
Users on Ethereum’s Decentralized Polymarket Speculate on Biden’s Impeachment
19.9.2023
After the Republican House of Representatives speaker, Kevin McCarthy, directed the House to open an impeachment inquiry into Joe Biden, bettors on the cryptocurrency-powered Polymarket platform have started placing bets on whether Biden will be impeached by two specific dates. Currently, bettors...
BitMEX's Prediction Market is Now Live
13.9.2023
Current prediction market contracts revolve around FTX bankruptcy claim recoveries, the future of bitcoin ETFs, and Sam Bankman-Fried’s jail sentence
Polymarket Wagers Favor Trump for Nomination; Ramaswamy’s Bid Gains Momentum
25.8.2023
Following the initial Republican debate and an exclusive interview between Donald Trump and Tucker Carlson on the social media platform X, wagers on the decentralized prediction marketplace Polymarket suggest Trump is leading, with presidential hopeful Vivek Ramaswamy trailing the former president....