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Speculation Grows on Joe Biden’s Whereabouts; Polymarket Bets 57% Chance of Tuesday Address
23.7.2024
Following U.S. President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the 2024 election, many Americans are curious about his whereabouts since he has not spoken to the nation following his letter posted to X on Sunday. On Tuesday, a Polymarket bet is predicting whether Biden will “make an appearance today” after...
Trump’s Election Odds Continue to Surge Post-Assassination Attempt: Polymarket Bets Hit 71%
15.7.2024
Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the chances of winning the 2024 general election up to 71%....
U.S. Secret Service Chief Probably Won't Be Fired, Polymarket Bets Signal
15.7.2024
Plus: Another all-time high for Trump's odds of victory; bettors think bitcoin will continue its green streak until the end of week
Trump’s 2024 Election Odds Jump to 66% on Polymarket; GOP Expected to Control Congress
3.7.2024
Donald Trump’s prospects of winning the 2024 election have risen, with the prediction market Polymarket reporting his odds at 66% as of July 2, 2024. Meanwhile, a wager worth $294 million indicates that incumbent President Joe Biden’s chances stand at 18%. Trump Favored Over Biden in 2024 Election...
Polymarket Bets Show Growing Confidence in Trump’s Election Victory Over Biden
9.6.2024
Ten days ago, after former President Donald Trump was convicted on 34 counts connected to a hush-money scheme, Polymarket bets indicated his chances of winning the 2024 election still stood at 54%, compared to incumbent President Joe Biden’s 40%. Since that time, the gap between Trump and Biden...
Conviction Fails to Deter Donald Trump’s 2024 Election Odds, According to Polymarket Bets
31.5.2024
Following the landmark news of former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 counts related to a hush-money scheme allegedly influencing the 2016 election, data from the Polygon-powered prediction market Polymarket shows Trump still leading in forecast bets for the 2024 election. Convicted...
Polymarket Bets Reflect Low Confidence in Ethereum ETF Approval by SEC
7.5.2024
According to a wager on the decentralized betting platform Polymarket, the likelihood of a spot ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) gaining approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission currently stands at just 7%. This forecast commenced in January with a 76% probability of approval...
Polymarket Bets Favor Trump for GOP Nomination With an 81% Chance of Winning
13.11.2023
This week, the blockchain-based forecasting platform Polymarket’s figures indicate that Donald Trump is leading the race for the Republican nomination in July 2024. Trump is ahead of a group of 13 contenders, which includes a few not actively campaigning, in a betting pool worth $5.25...